Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Rainbow Warriors @ Ducks HAW @ ORE

HAWAI'I

RAINBOW WARRIORSHAW

0-0  |  Road

59
FINAL
Tue, Nov 4 • 10:30 PM ET
Matthew Knight Arena
View Odds Details →

OREGON

DUCKSORE

0-0  |  Home

60
AI Model Win Probability
RAINBOW WARRIORS
100%
📊
DUCKS
0%
RAINBOW WARRIORS --
DUCKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
151.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
OREGON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Oregon)
Rainbow WarriorsHAW (-3.5) 0 DucksORE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rainbow Warriors Cover

24.2%

Ducks Cover

75.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORE -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORE)

HAW By 1-7 points

15.3%

HAW By 8-14 points

5.8%

ORE By 1-7 points

26.2%

ORE By 8-14 points

25.3%

AI Model Projected Score
72
HAWAI'I
79
OREGON
Simulated Score
65
HAWAI'I
78
OREGON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ducks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Ducks Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
D
Sim Ducks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 151.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 143.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 4, 2025 HAW @ ORE 59 - 60
Dec 7, 2019 HAW @ ORE 64 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +141.0% more
Oregon: 6.6 vs Hawai'i: 2.7
Blocks (L5) +71.4% more
Oregon: 3.0 vs Hawai'i: 1.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.2%
Oregon: 48.4% vs Hawai'i: 42.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
Oregon: 35.8% vs Hawai'i: 30.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HAW Score 72.0 59
ORE Score 79.0 60
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.8 / 30.1 13.0 / 19.0
Assists 11.3 / 13.5 9.0 / 8.0
Blocks 3.0 / 1.8 7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.4 / 42.2 36.0 / 32.0
Free Throw % 70.3 / 81.7 62.0 / 63.0
Rebounding 37.4 / 35.9 47.0 / 41.0
Steals 6.6 / 2.7 8.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 11.8 / 13.4 21.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
3%TICKETS97%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
30%MONEY70%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
43%MONEY57%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HAW Advantage
24-9-0 (72.7%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
ORE
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -2.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HAW Advantage
13-18-0 (41.9%)
Margin: 9.0 ATS +/-: -0.3
ORE
12-20-0 (37.5%)
Margin: -3.1 ATS +/-: -2.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HAW
13-18-0
O: 41.9% / U: 58.1% Total +/-: -0.1
ORE
14-18-0
O: 43.8% / U: 56.3% Total +/-: -1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORE
HAW
ORE
HAW
ML
56% 18-14
61% 20-13
62% 18-11
68% 21-10
ATS
56% 18-14
67% 22-11
62% 18-11
68% 21-10
TTL
59% 19-13
61% 20-13
100% 29-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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