OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
7-0 | Road
126
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
3-3 | Home
107
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
THUNDER
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
OKC By 1-7 points
18.6%
OKC By 8-14 points
8.0%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.2%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
114
OKLAHOMA CITY
LA
119
LA
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
112
OKLAHOMA CITY
LA
118
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Clippers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Clippers (+8.5)
Loss
Proj Spread: -5.0
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o219.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Sim
u219.0
Win
Proj Total: 230.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
OKC @ LAC
128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025
LAC @ OKC
101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025
OKC @ LAC
126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025
OKC @ LAC
103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025
LAC @ OKC
98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+58.9% more
LA: 10.0
vs
Oklahoma City: 6.3
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
LA: 6.2
vs
Oklahoma City: 5.4
Rebounding (L5)
+13.1% more
LA: 22.9
vs
Oklahoma City: 20.2
Blocks (L5)
+10.4% more
LA: 2.4
vs
Oklahoma City: 2.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
114.0
126
LAC Score
119.0
107
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.1 / 32.1
42.0 / 47.0
Assists
13.9 / 14.0
26.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.4 / 2.2
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 48.4
41.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
40.2 / 40.2
85.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
22.9 / 20.2
42.0 / 40.0
Steals
6.2 / 5.4
9.0 / 12.0
Turnovers
10.0 / 6.3
19.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
OKC
LAC
OKC
ML
60%
59-40
70%
80-34
55%
45-37
48%
46-49
ATS
66%
65-33-1
73%
83-30-1
55%
45-37
48%
46-49
TTL
59%
58-40-1
67%
76-38
100%
82-0
100%
95-0
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