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DELAWARE

BLUE HENSDEL

0-0  |  Road

70
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Sojka Pavilion
View Odds Details →

BUCKNELL

BISONBUCK

0-0  |  Home

78
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE HENS
0%
📊
BISON
100%
BLUE HENS --
BISON --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
DELAWARE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Delaware)
Blue HensDEL (-3.5) 0 BisonBUCK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blue Hens Cover

81.6%

Bison Cover

18.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DEL -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DEL)

DEL By 1-7 points

24.3%

DEL By 8-14 points

26.8%

BUCK By 1-7 points

12.2%

BUCK By 8-14 points

4.0%

AI Model Projected Score
78
DELAWARE
69
BUCKNELL
Simulated Score
69
DELAWARE
73
BUCKNELL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Hens Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Bison Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Blue Hens (-1) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim Bison (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u147.5 Loss
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim u147.5 Win
Proj Total: 142.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 DEL @ BUCK 70 - 78
Nov 4, 2024 BUCK @ DEL 85 - 73
Nov 6, 2023 DEL @ BUCK 78 - 57
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +11.8%
Delaware: 79.3% vs Bucknell: 67.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.7%
Delaware: 40.7% vs Bucknell: 38.0%
Blocks (L5) +34.7% more
Bucknell: 3.7 vs Delaware: 2.7
Turnovers (L5) +16.1% more
Bucknell: 11.2 vs Delaware: 9.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 78.0 70
BUCK Score 69.0 78
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 40.7 42.0 / 33.0
Assists 14.0 / 15.1 14.0 / 12.0
Blocks 3.7 / 2.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 49.0 45.0 / 39.0
Free Throw % 67.5 / 79.3 86.0 / 61.0
Rebounding 33.7 / 31.5 42.0 / 34.0
Steals 6.4 / 5.8 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 9.6 13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL Advantage
10-21-0 (32.3%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
BUCK
10-23-0 (30.3%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL Advantage
15-14-1 (51.7%)
Margin: -6.3 ATS +/-: -0.5
BUCK
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -8.9 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
15-15-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +2.0
BUCK
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6% Total +/-: +1.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUCK
DEL
BUCK
DEL
ML
55% 18-15
45% 14-17
64% 21-12
52% 16-15
ATS
45% 15-18
61% 19-12
64% 21-12
52% 16-15
TTL
61% 20-13
65% 20-11
100% 33-0
100% 31-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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