AI Model Win Probability
KNIGHTS
100%
BULLDOGS
0%
KNIGHTS
--
BULLDOGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
147.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.0 points (Georgia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UGA -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UGA)
BELL By 1-7 points
12.2%
BELL By 8-14 points
4.0%
UGA By 1-7 points
24.3%
UGA By 8-14 points
26.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Bellarmine
69
BELLARMINE
Georgia
78
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
Bellarmine
62
BELLARMINE
Georgia
75
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bulldogs
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Sim
Bulldogs (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 147.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 137.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
BELL @ UGA
59 - 104
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+85.6% more
Georgia: 3.5
vs
Bellarmine: 1.9
Rebounding (L5)
+26.9% more
Georgia: 34.3
vs
Bellarmine: 27.0
Turnovers (L5)
+21.8% more
Georgia: 12.2
vs
Bellarmine: 10.0
Assists (L5)
+22.8% more
Bellarmine: 13.6
vs
Georgia: 10.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BELL Score
69.0
59
UGA Score
78.0
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
31.2 / 37.3
31.0 / 29.0
Assists
10.5 / 13.6
13.0 / 16.0
Blocks
3.5 / 1.9
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
42.4 / 48.3
54.0 / 40.0
Free Throw %
69.8 / 72.6
90.0 / 83.0
Rebounding
34.3 / 27.0
38.0 / 29.0
Steals
7.7 / 7.3
16.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.2 / 10.0
6.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BELL
13-19-0
(40.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
UGA
Advantage
22-11-0
(66.7%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BELL
Advantage
17-12-1
(58.6%)
Margin: -1.7
ATS +/-: +1.7
UGA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 9.6
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
BELL
20-10-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3%
Total +/-: +9.2
UGA
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
BELL
UGA
BELL
ML
67%
22-11
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
94%
29-2
ATS
61%
20-13
72%
23-9
56%
18-14
94%
29-2
TTL
64%
21-12
50%
16-16
100%
32-0
100%
31-0