AI Model Win Probability
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
100%
COUGARS
0%
MOUNTAIN HAWKS
--
COUGARS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
127.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
HOUSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Houston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around HOU -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (HOU)
LEH By 1-7 points
21.6%
LEH By 8-14 points
10.7%
HOU By 1-7 points
27.2%
HOU By 8-14 points
20.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Lehigh
62
LEHIGH
Houston
65
HOUSTON
Simulated Score
Lehigh
55
LEHIGH
Houston
78
HOUSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Cougars
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Cougars
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Cougars (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 127.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 133.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
LEH @ HOU
57 - 75
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+173.5% more
Houston: 5.0
vs
Lehigh: 1.8
Steals (L5)
+28.7% more
Houston: 6.0
vs
Lehigh: 4.7
Rebounding (L5)
+18.0% more
Houston: 39.7
vs
Lehigh: 33.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.9%
Houston: 75.1%
vs
Lehigh: 67.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LEH Score
62.0
57
HOU Score
65.0
75
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 38.3
33.0 / 27.0
Assists
10.1 / 15.4
14.0 / 5.0
Blocks
5.0 / 1.8
6.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
38.9 / 49.6
43.0 / 37.0
Free Throw %
75.1 / 67.2
80.0 / 65.0
Rebounding
39.7 / 33.7
43.0 / 30.0
Steals
6.0 / 4.7
11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
8.0 / 12.3
13.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LEH
18-17-0
(51.4%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
HOU
Advantage
30-7-0
(81.1%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LEH
Advantage
18-14-1
(56.3%)
Margin: -1.1
ATS +/-: +1.0
HOU
18-19-0
(48.7%)
Margin: 14.5
ATS +/-: +0.7
⚖️ Over/Under
LEH
18-15-0
O: 54.6% / U: 45.5%
Total +/-: +4.5
HOU
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5%
Total +/-: -0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
HOU
LEH
HOU
LEH
ML
70%
26-11
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
68%
23-11
ATS
70%
26-11
56%
19-15
68%
23-11
68%
23-11
TTL
59%
22-15
76%
26-8
100%
34-0
100%
34-0