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JACKSON STATE

TIGERSJKST

0-0  |  Road

55
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:30 PM ET
State Farm Center
View Odds Details →

ILLINOIS

FIGHTING ILLINIILL

0-0  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
100%
📊
FIGHTING ILLINI
0%
TIGERS --
FIGHTING ILLINI --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
ILLINOIS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Illinois)
TigersJKST (-3.5) 0 Fighting IlliniILL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

21.2%

Fighting Illini Cover

78.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ILL -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ILL)

JKST By 1-7 points

13.7%

JKST By 8-14 points

4.8%

ILL By 1-7 points

25.3%

ILL By 8-14 points

26.2%

AI Model Projected Score
69
JACKSON STATE
77
ILLINOIS
Simulated Score
59
JACKSON STATE
82
ILLINOIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Fighting Illini Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Fighting Illini Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Fighting Illini (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim Fighting Illini (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -23.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 141.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 JKST @ ILL 55 - 113
Nov 9, 2021 JKST @ ILL 47 - 71
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +9.9% more
Illinois: 4.5 vs Jackson State: 4.1
Free Throw % (L5) +2.3%
Illinois: 77.0% vs Jackson State: 74.7%
Steals (L5) +33.6% more
Jackson State: 4.4 vs Illinois: 2.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
Jackson State: 36.9% vs Illinois: 32.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
JKST Score 69.0 55
ILL Score 77.0 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 36.9 46.0 / 24.0
Assists 14.3 / 13.8 23.0 / 5.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.1 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.4 / 46.0 55.0 / 31.0
Free Throw % 77.0 / 74.7 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 42.4 / 41.3 61.0 / 19.0
Steals 2.9 / 4.4 6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.9 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
6%TICKETS94%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
38%TICKETS62%
57%MONEY43%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
JKST
12-21-0 (36.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
ILL Advantage
28-9-0 (75.7%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
JKST
14-19-0 (42.4%)
Margin: -13.5 ATS +/-: -3.6
ILL Advantage
22-15-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
JKST
16-16-1
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +4.2
ILL
15-22-0
O: 40.5% / U: 59.5% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ILL
JKST
ILL
JKST
ML
65% 24-13
77% 24-7
57% 20-15
73% 19-7
ATS
70% 26-11
77% 24-7
57% 20-15
73% 19-7
TTL
57% 21-16
58% 18-13
100% 35-0
100% 26-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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