Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Louisiana Tech @ Delaware LT @ DEL

LOUISIANA TECH

LOUISIANA TECHLT

5-3  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Nov 8 • 3:00 PM ET
Delaware Stadium
View Odds Details →

DELAWARE

DELAWAREDEL

4-4  |  Home

25
Key Game
Jojo Odom
KEY GAME

Jojo Odom

#90 | Defensive Lineman
@
Nasir Eatmon
KEY GAME

Nasir Eatmon

#36 | Safety
Player
Jojo Odom None-None
Nasir Eatmon None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
LOUISIANA TECH
0%
📊
DELAWARE
100%
LOUISIANA TECH --
DELAWARE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
69.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
LOUISIANA TECH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (Louisiana Tech)
Louisiana TechLT (-3.5) 0 DelawareDEL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Louisiana Tech Cover

69.1%

Delaware Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around LT -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LT)

LT By 1-6 points

16.5%

LT By 7-13 points

19.3%

DEL By 1-6 points

12.9%

DEL By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
38
LOUISIANA TECH
31
DELAWARE
Simulated Score
24
LOUISIANA TECH
28
DELAWARE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Louisiana Tech Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Delaware Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Louisiana Tech (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim Delaware (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 69.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 8, 2025 LT @ DEL 24 - 25
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +61.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 226.6 vs Delaware: 88.3
Turnovers (L5) +12.6% more
Louisiana Tech: 1.7 vs Delaware: 1.5
Total Yards (L5) +10.7% more
Louisiana Tech: 452.5 vs Delaware: 403.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +8.0% more
Louisiana Tech: 0.5 vs Delaware: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LT Score 38.0 24
DEL Score 31.0 25
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.3 / 23.2 21.0 / 22.0
Rushing Yards 88.3 / 226.6 95.0 / 131.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.5 0.27 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards 403.9 / 452.5 399.0 / 333.0
Turnovers 1.5 / 1.7 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
73%TICKETS27%
62%MONEY38%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LT Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
DEL
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LT Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 7.0 ATS +/-: +9.1
DEL
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
LT
4-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +13.0
DEL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEL
LT
DEL
LT
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
ATS
40% 2-3
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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