AI Model Win Probability
PIONEERS
100%
REDHAWKS
0%
PIONEERS
--
REDHAWKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
109.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
SEATTLE U
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Seattle U)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SEA -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
DEN By 1-7 points
24.3%
DEN By 8-14 points
13.7%
SEA By 1-7 points
26.2%
SEA By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Denver
54
DENVER
Seattle U
55
SEATTLE U
Simulated Score
Denver
68
DENVER
Seattle U
72
SEATTLE U
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Redhawks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Redhawks (+12.5)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Redhawks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u136.5
Loss
Proj Total: 109.0
D
Sim
u136.5
Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Nov 3, 2025
DEN @ SEA
73 - 84
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+38.4% more
Seattle U: 12.2
vs
Denver: 8.8
Steals (L5)
+33.2% more
Seattle U: 9.8
vs
Denver: 7.3
Turnovers (L5)
+17.1% more
Denver: 13.6
vs
Seattle U: 11.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+12.5%
Denver: 78.5%
vs
Seattle U: 66.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DEN Score
54.0
73
SEA Score
55.0
84
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.5 / 35.2
42.0 / 38.0
Assists
12.2 / 8.8
9.0 / 10.0
Blocks
4.1 / 4.2
5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
39.0 / 45.3
46.0 / 38.0
Free Throw %
66.0 / 78.5
67.0 / 82.0
Rebounding
31.8 / 30.7
36.0 / 38.0
Steals
9.8 / 7.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 13.6
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEN
15-17-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
SEA
Advantage
21-14-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEN
Advantage
17-11-1
(60.7%)
Margin: 0.0
ATS +/-: +1.1
SEA
15-17-1
(46.9%)
Margin: 4.9
ATS +/-: +0.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DEN
20-8-1
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6%
Total +/-: +7.0
SEA
13-20-0
O: 39.4% / U: 60.6%
Total +/-: -4.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
DEN
SEA
DEN
ML
46%
16-19
56%
18-14
71%
24-10
59%
19-13
ATS
57%
20-15
66%
21-11
71%
24-10
59%
19-13
TTL
49%
17-18
59%
19-13
100%
34-0
100%
32-0