Home / NCAAB Projections NCAAB / Sycamores @ 49ers INST @ CLT

INDIANA STATE

SYCAMORESINST

0-0  |  Road

76
FINAL
Mon, Nov 3 • 8:00 PM ET
Halton Arena
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

49ERSCLT

0-0  |  Home

92
AI Model Win Probability
SYCAMORES
0%
📊
49ERS
100%
SYCAMORES --
49ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
146.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.0
INDIANA STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.0 points (Indiana State)
SycamoresINST (-3.5) 0 49ersCLT (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Sycamores Cover

78.8%

49ers Cover

21.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around INST -8.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (INST)

INST By 1-7 points

25.3%

INST By 8-14 points

26.2%

CLT By 1-7 points

13.7%

CLT By 8-14 points

4.8%

AI Model Projected Score
77
INDIANA STATE
69
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
68
INDIANA STATE
72
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Sycamores Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim 49ers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Sycamores (-4.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -8.0
D
Sim 49ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u152.5 Loss
Proj Total: 146.0
D
Sim u152.5 Win
Proj Total: 140.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 3, 2025 INST @ CLT 76 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +39.2% more
Indiana State: 17.3 vs Charlotte: 10.6
Steals (L5) +27.8% more
Indiana State: 5.5 vs Charlotte: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5) +8.9%
Indiana State: 49.2% vs Charlotte: 40.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.8%
Indiana State: 37.0% vs Charlotte: 30.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
INST Score 77.0 76
CLT Score 69.0 92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.2 / 37.0 48.0 / 27.0
Assists 10.6 / 17.3 14.0 / 19.0
Blocks 3.3 / 1.8 2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 49.2 48.0 / 47.0
Free Throw % 71.5 / 70.2 67.0 / 71.0
Rebounding 31.2 / 33.1 45.0 / 24.0
Steals 4.0 / 5.5 6.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.2 / 10.2 8.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
55%MONEY45%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
61%TICKETS39%
14%MONEY86%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
49%TICKETS51%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
INST
11-21-0 (34.4%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
CLT Advantage
17-17-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
INST Advantage
17-12-1 (58.6%)
Margin: -0.9 ATS +/-: +0.5
CLT
18-15-0 (54.6%)
Margin: -1.1 ATS +/-: +0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
INST
13-17-0
O: 43.3% / U: 56.7% Total +/-: -3.9
CLT
19-13-1
O: 59.4% / U: 40.6% Total +/-: +3.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLT
INST
CLT
INST
ML
62% 21-13
66% 21-11
67% 22-11
53% 17-15
ATS
68% 23-11
62% 20-12
67% 22-11
53% 17-15
TTL
65% 22-12
53% 17-15
100% 33-0
100% 32-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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