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CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

2-9-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Nov 2 • 7:00 PM ET
Xfinity Mobile Arena
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

6-4-1  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
@
Aleksei Kolosov
GOALTENDER

Aleksei Kolosov

#35 | G
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dustin Wolf None-None 1.01 0.944 --
Aleksei Kolosov None-None 2.06 0.905 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 2.06
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.905
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
0%
📊
FLYERS
100%
FLAMES --
FLYERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
CALGARY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Calgary)
FlamesCGY (-3.5) 0 FlyersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flames Cover

84.1%

Flyers Cover

15.9%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CGY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

CGY By 1 goal

17.5%

CGY By 2-3 goals

37.2%

PHI By 1 goal

6.6%

PHI By 2-3 goals

3.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4
CALGARY
2
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
2
CALGARY
4
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Flames Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Flyers Loss
50% Win Prob
B
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Sim Flyers (+0) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 PHI @ CGY 1 - 5
Nov 2, 2025 CGY @ PHI 2 - 1
Mar 4, 2025 CGY @ PHI 6 - 3
Oct 12, 2024 PHI @ CGY 3 - 6
Jan 6, 2024 CGY @ PHI 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +29.0% more
Calgary: 3.5 vs Philadelphia: 2.5
Shots on Goal (L5) +14.2% more
Calgary: 31.6 vs Philadelphia: 27.1
Power Play % (L5) +23.8%
Philadelphia: 37.3% vs Calgary: 13.5%
Blocked Shots (L5) +18.8% more
Philadelphia: 14.9 vs Calgary: 12.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CGY Score 4.0 2
PHI Score 2.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.9 / 12.5 17.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 47.4 / 44.6 47.4 / 52.6
Hits 20.4 / 18.6 21.0 / 25.0
Power Play % 3732.0 / 1348.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 27.1 / 31.6 18.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 2.5 / 3.5 5.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
19%TICKETS81%
29%MONEY71%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
11%MONEY89%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
68%TICKETS32%
70%MONEY30%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
CGY
PHI
CGY
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
TTL
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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