SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
1-4 | Road
135
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
4-1 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
BUCKS
100%
KINGS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.0
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.0 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -15.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
15.3%
SAC By 8-14 points
25.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
4.8%
MIL By 8-14 points
1.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
115
SACRAMENTO
Milwaukee
100
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Sacramento
112
SACRAMENTO
Milwaukee
116
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-7)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u234.0
Loss
Proj Total: 215.0
D
Sim
u234.0
Win
Proj Total: 228.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 4, 2026
MIL @ SAC
115 - 98
Nov 1, 2025
SAC @ MIL
135 - 133
Mar 22, 2025
MIL @ SAC
114 - 108
Jan 14, 2025
SAC @ MIL
115 - 130
Mar 12, 2024
MIL @ SAC
94 - 129
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+11.0% more
Sacramento: 1.5
vs
Milwaukee: 1.4
Rebounding (L5)
+18.2% more
Milwaukee: 13.5
vs
Sacramento: 11.5
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
Milwaukee: 7.8
vs
Sacramento: 6.9
Turnovers (L5)
+9.5% more
Milwaukee: 4.6
vs
Sacramento: 4.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
115.0
135
MIL Score
100.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.4 / 37.2
47.0 / 36.0
Assists
7.8 / 6.9
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
1.4 / 1.5
2.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
50.6 / 49.3
60.0 / 52.0
Free Throw %
20.3 / 21.3
65.0 / 88.0
Rebounding
13.5 / 11.5
37.0 / 38.0
Steals
2.5 / 2.7
5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
4.6 / 4.2
11.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SAC
MIL
SAC
ML
64%
61-35
55%
55-45
60%
49-32
61%
50-32
ATS
68%
65-31
54%
52-45-3
60%
49-32
61%
50-32
TTL
55%
53-43
58%
57-42-1
100%
81-0
100%
82-0
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