Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / East Carolina @ Temple ECU @ TEM

EAST CAROLINA

EAST CAROLINAECU

4-3  |  Road

45
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 2:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

5-3  |  Home

14
Key Game
Kyler Pearson
KEY GAME

Kyler Pearson

#0 | Wide Receiver
@
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
Player
Kyler Pearson None-None
Dante Atton None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAST CAROLINA
0%
📊
TEMPLE
100%
EAST CAROLINA --
TEMPLE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
72.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.0
EAST CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.0 points (East Carolina)
East CarolinaECU (-3.5) 0 TempleTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

East Carolina Cover

90.1%

Temple Cover

9.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around ECU -18.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ECU)

ECU By 1-6 points

10.0%

ECU By 7-13 points

16.8%

TEM By 1-6 points

5.3%

TEM By 7-13 points

2.8%

AI Model Projected Score
45
EAST CAROLINA
27
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
24
EAST CAROLINA
27
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI East Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Temple Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI East Carolina (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -18.0
C
Sim Temple (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 72.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 ECU @ TEM 45 - 14
Oct 26, 2024 TEM @ ECU 34 - 56
Nov 26, 2022 ECU @ TEM 49 - 46
Nov 6, 2021 TEM @ ECU 3 - 45
Nov 21, 2020 ECU @ TEM 28 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +45.0% more
East Carolina: 0.7 vs Temple: 0.2
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +20.0% more
East Carolina: 0.5 vs Temple: 0.3
First Downs (L5) +17.6% more
East Carolina: 24.6 vs Temple: 20.3
Rushing Yards (L5) +16.1% more
East Carolina: 198.8 vs Temple: 166.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ECU Score 45.0 45
TEM Score 27.0 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.3 / 24.6 11.0 / 26.0
Rushing Yards 166.7 / 198.8 82.0 / 358.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.5 0.25 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.48 / 0.52
Total Yards 405.6 / 464.0 233.0 / 614.0
Turnovers 0.2 / 0.7 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
39%MONEY61%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
70%MONEY30%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ECU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
TEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ECU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: -1.3 ATS +/-: -4.8
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
ECU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -4.5
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
ECU
TEM
ECU
ML
80% 4-1
50% 2-2
80% 4-1
25% 1-3
ATS
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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