Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Oklahoma St @ Kansas OKST @ KU

OKLAHOMA STATE

OKLAHOMA STOKST

1-7  |  Road

21
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 4:00 PM ET
David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

KANSAS

KANSASKU

4-4  |  Home

38
Key Game
Cooper Lai
KEY GAME

Cooper Lai

#29 | Safety
@
Dakyus Brinkley
KEY GAME

Dakyus Brinkley

#9 | Defensive End
Player
Cooper Lai None-None
Dakyus Brinkley None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OKLAHOMA ST
100%
📊
KANSAS
0%
OKLAHOMA ST --
KANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-38.0
KANSAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +38.0 points (Kansas)
Oklahoma StOKST (-3.5) 0 KansasKU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oklahoma St Cover

0.3%

Kansas Cover

99.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KU -38.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KU)

OKST By 1-6 points

0.2%

OKST By 7-13 points

0.1%

KU By 1-6 points

0.9%

KU By 7-13 points

2.8%

AI Model Projected Score
0
OKLAHOMA STATE
38
KANSAS
Simulated Score
24
OKLAHOMA STATE
27
KANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kansas Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Kansas Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kansas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Sim Kansas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 38.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 OKST @ KU 21 - 38
Oct 14, 2023 KU @ OKST 32 - 39
Nov 5, 2022 OKST @ KU 16 - 37
Oct 30, 2021 KU @ OKST 3 - 55
Oct 3, 2020 OKST @ KU 47 - 7
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +44.6% more
Kansas: 19.9 vs Oklahoma State: 13.8
Total Yards (L5) +29.6% more
Kansas: 345.1 vs Oklahoma State: 266.3
Turnovers (L5) +11.7% more
Kansas: 1.8 vs Oklahoma State: 1.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OKST Score 0.0 21
KU Score 38.0 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.9 / 13.8 18.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 118.2 / 127.3 232.0 / 72.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.6 / 0.57
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 345.1 / 266.3 342.0 / 316.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.6 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
14%MONEY86%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
40%TICKETS60%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
83%TICKETS17%
71%MONEY29%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKST Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKST Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 17.5 ATS +/-: +6.9
KU
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +4.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OKST
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
KU
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
KU
OKST
KU
OKST
ML
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
ATS
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
TTL
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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