Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / South Carolina @ Ole Miss SC @ MISS

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

3-5  |  Road

14
FINAL
Sat, Nov 1 • 7:00 PM ET
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
View Odds Details →

OLE MISS

OLE MISSMISS

7-1  |  Home

30
Key Game
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
@
Lucas Carneiro
KEY GAME

Lucas Carneiro

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Mason Love None-None
Lucas Carneiro None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SOUTH CAROLINA
100%
📊
OLE MISS
0%
SOUTH CAROLINA --
OLE MISS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-24.0
OLE MISS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +24.0 points (Ole Miss)
South CarolinaSC (-3.5) 0 Ole MissMISS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

South Carolina Cover

4.3%

Ole Miss Cover

95.7%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MISS -24.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MISS)

SC By 1-6 points

2.5%

SC By 7-13 points

1.1%

MISS By 1-6 points

5.9%

MISS By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
14
SOUTH CAROLINA
38
OLE MISS
Simulated Score
35
SOUTH CAROLINA
20
OLE MISS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ole Miss Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim South Carolina Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ole Miss (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -24.0
C
Sim South Carolina (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -15.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 52.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Nov 1, 2025 SC @ MISS 14 - 30
Oct 5, 2024 MISS @ SC 27 - 3
Nov 14, 2020 SC @ MISS 42 - 59
Nov 3, 2018 SC @ MISS 48 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +42.8% more
Ole Miss: 437.3 vs South Carolina: 306.2
First Downs (L5) +29.4% more
Ole Miss: 22.9 vs South Carolina: 17.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +27.0% more
Ole Miss: 142.0 vs South Carolina: 111.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Ole Miss: 0.5 vs South Carolina: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SC Score 14.0 14
MISS Score 38.0 30
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.9 / 17.7 19.0 / 15.0
Rushing Yards 142.0 / 111.8 258.0 / 50.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.09 / 0.23
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 437.3 / 306.2 417.0 / 230.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.7 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
11%MONEY89%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
23%TICKETS77%
24%MONEY76%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
84%MONEY16%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
MISS Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
MISS Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 4.8 ATS +/-: -6.1
⚖️ Over/Under
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
MISS
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +8.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MISS
SC
MISS
SC
ML
75% 3-1
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
TTL
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Bryce Young Returns to Tuscaloosa as ESPN College GameDay Guest …
yahoo 7 hours, 20 minutes ago
Wisconsin Badgers Rank Third in National TV Viewership Through E…
si 7 hours, 22 minutes ago
Texas Longhorns Lead College Football Viewership Through Week 5,…
si 7 hours, 22 minutes ago
USC Linebackers Shine in Win Over Washington, Three Earn Game Ba…
sgvtribune 19 hours, 55 minutes ago
SEC Power Rankings: Unraveling the Chaos After Another Turbulent…
hottytoddy 1 day, 1 hour ago