Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / North Carolina @ Syracuse UNC @ SYR

NORTH CAROLINA

NORTH CAROLINAUNC

2-5  |  Road

27
FINAL
Fri, Oct 31 • 7:30 PM ET
JMA Wireless Dome
View Odds Details →

SYRACUSE

SYRACUSESYR

3-5  |  Home

10
Key Game
Timir Hickman-Collins
KEY GAME

Timir Hickman-Collins

#54 | Linebacker
@
Gary Bryant III
KEY GAME

Gary Bryant III

#10 | Linebacker
Player
Timir Hickman-Collins None-None
Gary Bryant III None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NORTH CAROLINA
0%
📊
SYRACUSE
100%
NORTH CAROLINA --
SYRACUSE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
21.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
NORTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (North Carolina)
North CarolinaUNC (-3.5) 0 SyracuseSYR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

North Carolina Cover

69.1%

Syracuse Cover

30.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around UNC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UNC)

UNC By 1-6 points

16.5%

UNC By 7-13 points

19.3%

SYR By 1-6 points

12.9%

SYR By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
14
NORTH CAROLINA
7
SYRACUSE
Simulated Score
28
NORTH CAROLINA
24
SYRACUSE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI North Carolina Win
0% Win Prob
B
Sim North Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI North Carolina (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
B
Sim North Carolina (-1.5) Win
Proj Spread: -4.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI u45.5 Win
Proj Total: 21.0
B
Sim o45.5 Loss
Proj Total: 52.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 31, 2025 UNC @ SYR 27 - 10
Oct 7, 2023 SYR @ UNC 7 - 40
Sep 12, 2020 SYR @ UNC 6 - 31
Oct 20, 2018 UNC @ SYR 37 - 40
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +19.1% more
Syracuse: 359.5 vs North Carolina: 301.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNC Score 14.0 27
SYR Score 7.0 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.3 / 17.8 12.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 119.4 / 118.8 113.0 / 210.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.25 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.41 / 0.59
Total Yards 359.5 / 301.8 152.0 / 426.0
Turnovers 2.0 / 2.1 1.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
42%TICKETS58%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
41%TICKETS59%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
58%TICKETS42%
41%MONEY59%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNC
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +3.4
SYR
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNC Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 4.5 ATS +/-: +3.4
SYR
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 11.8 ATS +/-: +2.9
⚖️ Over/Under
UNC
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -4.5
SYR
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SYR
UNC
SYR
UNC
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
TTL
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Live Stream, TV Channel, and G…
yahoo 3 hours, 52 minutes ago
Boston College Hockey Secures Commitment from USNTDP Forward Sam…
si 1 day, 4 hours ago
Kirby Smart Addresses Uncertainty Surrounding Georgia-Alabama Ga…
si 1 day, 9 hours ago
UCLA Gears Up for Dual Threat: Oregon's Raiola and Moore Demand …
dailybreeze 1 day, 21 hours ago
Missouri Freshman Lineman Johnnie DJ Jones Awaits Heart Transpla…
news29 1 day, 21 hours ago