WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
0-0 | Road
120
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
0-0 | Home
133
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
0%
BUCKS
100%
WIZARDS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
100%
Under 0
0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIL +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
WSH By 1-7 points
26.2%
WSH By 8-14 points
25.3%
MIL By 1-7 points
15.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
5.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
115
WASHINGTON
Milwaukee
108
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Washington
105
WASHINGTON
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+10)
Win
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
u228.5
Loss
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Sim
u228.5
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 29, 2026
MIL @ WSH
99 - 109
Dec 31, 2025
WSH @ MIL
114 - 113
Dec 1, 2025
MIL @ WSH
126 - 129
Oct 22, 2025
WSH @ MIL
120 - 133
Feb 21, 2025
MIL @ WSH
104 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.5% more
Washington: 5.0
vs
Milwaukee: 3.6
Rebounding (L5)
+13.8% more
Washington: 48.2
vs
Milwaukee: 41.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.5%
Washington: 74.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 72.4%
Steals (L5)
+31.9% more
Milwaukee: 8.0
vs
Washington: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
115.0
120
MIL Score
108.0
133
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
41.4 / 31.0
40.9 / 40.5
Assists
24.9 / 24.0
31.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.6 / 5.0
6.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 43.1
51.0 / 46.9
Free Throw %
72.4 / 74.9
78.9 / 57.9
Rebounding
41.5 / 48.2
46.0 / 56.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.1
8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.6 / 17.0
8.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
MIL
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
WSH
MIL
WSH
ML
64%
61-35
70%
112-49
60%
49-32
47%
39-44
ATS
68%
65-31
69%
111-49-1
60%
49-32
47%
39-44
TTL
55%
53-43
74%
119-41-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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