Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Vikings PHI @ MIN

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

4-2  |  Road

28
FINAL
Sun, Oct 19 • 1:00 PM ET
U.S. Bank Stadium
View Odds Details →

MINNESOTA

VIKINGSMIN

3-2  |  Home

22
Key Game
Jonathan Greenard
KEY GAME

Jonathan Greenard

#52 | Linebacker
@
Will Reichard
KEY GAME

Will Reichard

#16 | Place kicker
Player
Jonathan Greenard None-None
Will Reichard None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
100%
📊
VIKINGS
0%
EAGLES --
VIKINGS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
43.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 100%
Under 0 0%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Minnesota)
EaglesPHI (-3.5) 0 VikingsMIN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

41.5%

Vikings Cover

58.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIN -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

PHI By 1-6 points

15.3%

PHI By 7-13 points

12.9%

MIN By 1-6 points

17.0%

MIN By 7-13 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
20
PHILADELPHIA
23
MINNESOTA
Simulated Score
20
PHILADELPHIA
27
MINNESOTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Vikings Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Vikings Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Vikings (+1.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim Vikings (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI u43.5 Loss
Proj Total: 43.0
D
Sim u43.5 Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 19, 2025 PHI @ MIN 28 - 22
Sep 14, 2023 MIN @ PHI 28 - 34
Sep 19, 2022 MIN @ PHI 7 - 24
Oct 13, 2019 PHI @ MIN 20 - 38
Oct 7, 2018 MIN @ PHI 23 - 21
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +90.0% more
Minnesota: 1.7 vs Philadelphia: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +17.3% more
Minnesota: 101.9 vs Philadelphia: 86.9
Total Yards (L5) +10.4% more
Minnesota: 328.8 vs Philadelphia: 297.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 20.0 28
MIN Score 23.0 22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 19.6 / 18.3 21.0 / 13.0
Net Passing Yards 226.8 / 210.8 298.0 / 316.0
Rushing Yards 101.9 / 86.9 89.0 / 45.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.3 0.47 / 0.3
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 328.8 / 297.7 387.0 / 361.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 0.8 2.0 / 0.0
Yards Per Play 5.4 / 5.2 5.8 / 7.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
86%MONEY14%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
75%TICKETS25%
79%MONEY21%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
MIN Advantage
4-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-4-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: -7.8
MIN Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 8.8 ATS +/-: +7.0
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0% Total +/-: -0.1
MIN
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -9.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIN
PHI
MIN
PHI
ML
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
50% 2-2
75% 3-1
ATS
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
100% 4-0
75% 3-1
TTL
0% 0-4
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Giants' JJ McCarthy Earns Top Marks from Matt Nagy Ahead of Poss…
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Bengals Defender Exposes Malik Willis's Pre-Throw Tic Before Dol…
bleacherreport 3 hours, 46 minutes ago
Eagles Receiver Dontayvion Wicks Added to Injury Report with Ham…
sportingnews 3 hours, 49 minutes ago
Ravens' Gamble on Cam Jurgens: A Trade That Demands Two Grades
si 9 hours, 43 minutes ago
Colorado Buffaloes' NFL Draft Hopes Dim for Five Players Amid Th…
si 9 hours, 51 minutes ago