Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Oklahoma @ South Carolina OU @ SC

OKLAHOMA

OKLAHOMAOU

5-1  |  Road

26
FINAL
Sat, Oct 18 • 12:45 PM ET
Williams-Brice Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

3-3  |  Home

7
Key Game
Grayson Miller
KEY GAME

Grayson Miller

#43 | Place kicker
@
Kelvin Hunter
KEY GAME

Kelvin Hunter

#3 | Defensive Back
Player
Grayson Miller None-None
Kelvin Hunter None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OKLAHOMA
100%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
0%
OKLAHOMA --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
85.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.0
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.0 points (South Carolina)
OklahomaOU (-3.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oklahoma Cover

30.9%

South Carolina Cover

69.1%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SC -7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

OU By 1-6 points

12.9%

OU By 7-13 points

9.6%

SC By 1-6 points

16.5%

SC By 7-13 points

19.3%

AI Model Projected Score
39
OKLAHOMA
46
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
20
OKLAHOMA
31
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI South Carolina Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim South Carolina Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI South Carolina (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Sim South Carolina (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -11.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 85.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 18, 2025 OU @ SC 26 - 7
Oct 19, 2024 SC @ OU 35 - 9
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +24.2% more
South Carolina: 141.3 vs Oklahoma: 113.8
Turnovers (L5) +23.9% more
Oklahoma: 1.6 vs South Carolina: 1.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 39.0 26
SC Score 46.0 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.8 / 20.0 15.0 / 20.0
Rushing Yards 141.3 / 113.8 54.0 / 171.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.2 / 0.5
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 327.3 / 341.1 224.0 / 319.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.6 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
84%TICKETS16%
58%MONEY42%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
54%MONEY46%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
78%TICKETS22%
59%MONEY41%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
SC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU Advantage
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -8.3
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
OU
SC
OU
ML
60% 3-2
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
TTL
20% 1-4
50% 2-2
60% 3-2
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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