LA
CLIPPERSLAC
1-1 | Road
109
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
0-2 | Home
91
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
KINGS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.1
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -3.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
27.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
20.2%
SAC By 1-7 points
21.5%
SAC By 8-14 points
10.6%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
112.54
LA
Sacramento
109.47
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
LA
114
LA
Sacramento
117
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kings
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.1
D
Sim
Kings (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 231.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
LAC @ SAC
138 - 109
Mar 14, 2026
SAC @ LAC
118 - 109
Feb 6, 2026
LAC @ SAC
114 - 111
Dec 30, 2025
SAC @ LAC
90 - 131
Oct 15, 2025
LAC @ SAC
109 - 91
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+26.6% more
LA: 6.8
vs
Sacramento: 5.0
Steals (L5)
+14.7% more
LA: 8.7
vs
Sacramento: 7.4
Assists (L5)
+10.1% more
LA: 26.0
vs
Sacramento: 23.3
Turnovers (L5)
+28.6% more
Sacramento: 16.4
vs
LA: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
112.5
109
SAC Score
109.5
91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.0 / 30.7
21.4 / 35.5
Assists
23.3 / 26.0
22.0 / 25.0
Blocks
5.0 / 6.8
1.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 47.0
40.9 / 50.6
Free Throw %
80.6 / 73.3
75.0 / 69.2
Rebounding
41.5 / 39.3
48.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.7
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 12.7
14.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
LAC
SAC
LAC
ML
55%
55-45
60%
59-40
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
ATS
54%
52-45-3
66%
65-33-1
61%
50-32
55%
45-37
TTL
58%
57-42-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
82-0
100%
82-0
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