DETROIT
PISTONSDET
1-0 | Road
111
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
1-0 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
BUCKS
0%
PISTONS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -3.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
DET By 1-7 points
21.6%
DET By 8-14 points
10.7%
MIL By 1-7 points
27.2%
MIL By 8-14 points
20.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
113.82
DETROIT
Milwaukee
116.84
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
Detroit
105
DETROIT
Milwaukee
118
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Sim
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 230.7
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 223.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
MIL @ DET
111 - 137
Dec 6, 2025
MIL @ DET
112 - 124
Dec 3, 2025
DET @ MIL
109 - 113
Nov 22, 2025
DET @ MIL
129 - 116
Oct 9, 2025
DET @ MIL
111 - 117
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.6%
Milwaukee: 38.3%
vs
Detroit: 31.7%
Blocks (L5)
+33.8% more
Detroit: 6.2
vs
Milwaukee: 4.1
Turnovers (L5)
+20.9% more
Detroit: 17.9
vs
Milwaukee: 14.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
Detroit: 47.9%
vs
Milwaukee: 44.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
113.8
111
MIL Score
116.8
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.3 / 31.7
50.0 / 30.3
Assists
24.9 / 24.4
22.0 / 23.0
Blocks
4.1 / 6.2
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.5 / 47.9
50.0 / 45.3
Free Throw %
72.0 / 73.4
77.5 / 69.7
Rebounding
44.0 / 46.8
31.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.7 / 9.5
4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
14.2 / 17.9
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
DET
MIL
DET
ML
64%
61-35
55%
64-53
60%
49-32
49%
47-49
ATS
68%
65-31
53%
60-54-3
60%
49-32
49%
47-49
TTL
55%
53-43
60%
70-46-1
100%
81-0
100%
96-0
Contextual Game News
Marcus Smart Reveals Why Lakers Let Him Walk: 'They Wanted to Go…
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Cal Bears' Injury Report: Eight Players Questionable for Virgini…