Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kent State @ Oklahoma KENT @ OU

KENT STATE

KENT STATEKENT

1-3  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Oct 4 • 4:00 PM ET
Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
View Odds Details →

OKLAHOMA

OKLAHOMAOU

4-0  |  Home

44
Key Game
Jake Stoeckel
KEY GAME

Jake Stoeckel

#97 | Punter
@
Grayson Miller
KEY GAME

Grayson Miller

#43 | Place kicker
Player
Jake Stoeckel None-None
Grayson Miller None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENT STATE
100%
📊
OKLAHOMA
0%
KENT STATE --
OKLAHOMA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
58.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-46.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +46.0 points (Oklahoma)
Kent StateKENT (-3.5) 0 OklahomaOU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kent State Cover

0.1%

Oklahoma Cover

99.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around OU -46.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

KENT By 1-6 points

0.0%

KENT By 7-13 points

0.0%

OU By 1-6 points

0.2%

OU By 7-13 points

0.8%

AI Model Projected Score
6
KENT STATE
52
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
10
KENT STATE
48
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Oklahoma Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Oklahoma Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Oklahoma (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -46.0
C
Sim Oklahoma (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2025 KENT @ OU 0 - 44
Sep 10, 2022 KENT @ OU 3 - 33
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +57.2% more
Oklahoma: 21.5 vs Kent State: 13.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +54.9% more
Oklahoma: 127.4 vs Kent State: 82.2
Total Yards (L5) +46.4% more
Oklahoma: 396.5 vs Kent State: 270.9
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +15.0% more
Oklahoma: 0.4 vs Kent State: 0.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 6.0 0
OU Score 52.0 44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.5 / 13.7 23.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 127.4 / 82.2 185.0 / 17.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.54 / 0.15
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 396.5 / 270.9 355.0 / 135.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
27%TICKETS73%
19%MONEY81%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
OU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -16.4 ATS +/-: -0.8
OU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: -5.5
OU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -8.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
KENT
OU
KENT
ML
100% 4-0
100% 5-0
100% 4-0
100% 5-0
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
TTL
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
25% 1-3
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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