Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Delaware @ FIU DEL @ FIU

DELAWARE

DELAWAREDEL

2-1  |  Road

38
FINAL
Sat, Sep 20 • 6:00 PM ET
Pitbull Stadium
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL

FIUFIU

2-1  |  Home

16
Key Game
Nasir Eatmon
KEY GAME

Nasir Eatmon

#36 | Safety
@
Robert Czeremcha
KEY GAME

Robert Czeremcha

#48 | Place kicker
Player
Nasir Eatmon None-None
Robert Czeremcha None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
DELAWARE
100%
📊
FIU
0%
DELAWARE --
FIU --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
76.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-64.0
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +64.0 points (Florida International)
DelawareDEL (-3.5) 0 FIUFIU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Delaware Cover

0.0%

FIU Cover

100.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around FIU -64.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (FIU)

DEL By 1-6 points

0.0%

DEL By 7-13 points

0.0%

FIU By 1-6 points

0.0%

FIU By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
6
DELAWARE
70
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Simulated Score
24
DELAWARE
27
FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI FIU Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim FIU Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI FIU (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -64.0
C
Sim FIU (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 76.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2025 DEL @ FIU 38 - 16
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +26.0% more
Florida International: 1.2 vs Delaware: 1.0
Rushing Yards (L5) +25.5% more
Florida International: 182.8 vs Delaware: 145.7
Time of Possession (L5) +8.0% more
Florida International: 0.6 vs Delaware: 0.5
First Downs (L5) +10.8% more
Delaware: 20.9 vs Florida International: 18.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DEL Score 6.0 38
FIU Score 70.0 16
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.6 / 20.9 14.0 / 24.0
Rushing Yards 182.8 / 145.7 160.0 / 140.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.29 / 0.69
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 388.4 / 377.9 363.0 / 358.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.0 2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
42%MONEY58%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
24%TICKETS76%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
66%TICKETS34%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DEL
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
FIU Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DEL
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -4.2 ATS +/-: -1.8
FIU
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 6.6 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
DEL
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.3
FIU
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -22.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FIU
DEL
FIU
DEL
ML
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
80% 4-1
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
TTL
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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