Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Oklahoma @ Temple OU @ TEM

OKLAHOMA

OKLAHOMAOU

2-0  |  Road

42
FINAL
Sat, Sep 13 • 12:00 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field
View Odds Details →

TEMPLE

TEMPLETEM

2-0  |  Home

3
Key Game
Grayson Miller
KEY GAME

Grayson Miller

#43 | Place kicker
@
Dante Atton
KEY GAME

Dante Atton

#7 | Punter
Player
Grayson Miller None-None
Dante Atton None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
OKLAHOMA
0%
📊
TEMPLE
100%
OKLAHOMA --
TEMPLE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
65.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-39.0
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +39.0 points (Oklahoma)
OklahomaOU (-3.5) 0 TempleTEM (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Oklahoma Cover

99.7%

Temple Cover

0.3%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around OU -39.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)

OU By 1-6 points

0.7%

OU By 7-13 points

2.4%

TEM By 1-6 points

0.2%

TEM By 7-13 points

0.0%

AI Model Projected Score
52
OKLAHOMA
13
TEMPLE
Simulated Score
10
OKLAHOMA
45
TEMPLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Oklahoma Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Temple Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Oklahoma (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -39.0
C
Sim Temple (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 65.0
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 13, 2025 OU @ TEM 42 - 3
Aug 30, 2024 TEM @ OU 3 - 51
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +55.7% more
Oklahoma: 1.8 vs Temple: 0.8
Rushing Yards (L5) +29.1% more
Temple: 192.1 vs Oklahoma: 148.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
OU Score 52.0 42
TEM Score 13.0 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.4 / 21.9 7.0 / 29.0
Rushing Yards 192.1 / 148.7 26.0 / 228.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.5 0.19 / 0.46
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.46 / 0.54
Total Yards 431.3 / 407.4 104.0 / 515.0
Turnovers 0.8 / 1.8 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
73%MONEY27%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
59%MONEY41%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
80%MONEY20%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OU Advantage
2-2-0 (50.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
TEM
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OU
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 6.0 ATS +/-: -8.0
TEM Advantage
4-0-1 (100.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: +5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
OU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0% Total +/-: -8.3
TEM
2-3-0
O: 40.0% / U: 60.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEM
OU
TEM
OU
ML
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
100% 4-0
ATS
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
TTL
40% 2-3
50% 2-2
20% 1-4
25% 1-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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