CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
54-89 | Road
6
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
82-61 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Taylor
#31 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Troy Melton
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Taylor | None-None | 5.68 | -- | 0.2 | 2 |
| Troy Melton | None-None | 2.38 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
5.68
ERA
Ldr 2.38
--
WHIP
--
0.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 2.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
31%
TIGERS
69%
WHITE SOX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
50%
Under 0
50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
CHW By 1-2 runs
18.2%
CHW By 3-4 runs
13.2%
DET By 1-2 runs
18.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
14.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
4.83
CHICAGO
Detroit
4.97
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.1
C
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+18000.0% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Strikeouts (L5)
+35.4% more
Chicago: 9.3
vs
Detroit: 6.0
Errors (L5)
+31.0% more
Chicago: 0.8
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Walks (L5)
+26.5% more
Chicago: 3.8
vs
Detroit: 2.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
4.8
6
DET Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.8
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
7.8 / 8.3
4.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.3
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.0 / 9.3
7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
13.4 / 14.4
8.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.8
9.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
49%
81-86
54%
87-73
56%
94-73
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-68
57%
91-69
56%
93-74
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
84-81-2
Contextual Game News
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