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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

54-88  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 6:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

81-61  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Colson Montgomery
STARTING PITCHER

Colson Montgomery

#12 | Shortstop
@
Javier Baez
STARTING PITCHER

Javier Baez

#28 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Colson Montgomery None-None -- -- -- --
Javier Baez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA --
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
32%
📊
TIGERS
68%
WHITE SOX --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 83%
Under 0 17%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

62.1%

Tigers Cover

37.9%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

16.9%

DET By 1-2 runs

15.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

10.0%

AI Model Projected Score
5.79
CHICAGO
4.56
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
6
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI White Sox Loss
32% Win Prob
D
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI White Sox (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
C
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.4
A
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 10.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Detroit DET
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826 ▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +55.7% more
Chicago: 1.9 vs Detroit: 0.9
Strikeouts (L5) +41.8% more
Chicago: 9.4 vs Detroit: 5.5
Total Bases (L5) +30.2% more
Chicago: 19.6 vs Detroit: 13.7
Runs per Game (Season) +25.7% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Detroit: 4.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 5.8 0
DET Score 4.6 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.7 / 0.6 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.7 / 11.0 6.0 / 3.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.9 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 5.5 / 9.4 7.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 13.7 / 19.6 13.0 / 4.0
Walks 3.7 / 4.2 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
13%TICKETS87%
22%MONEY78%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
11%TICKETS89%
10%MONEY90%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
53%MONEY47%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54% 86-73
49% 81-86
54% 87-73
56% 94-73
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 99-68
57% 91-69
56% 93-74
TTL
46% 69-81-9
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-10
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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