CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

53-88  |  Road

7
FINAL
Fri, Sep 5 • 6:40 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

81-60  |  Home

5
Probable Pitchers
Andrew Benintendi
STARTING PITCHER

Andrew Benintendi

#23 | Designated Hitter
@
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Andrew Benintendi None-None -- -- -- --
Tyler Holton None-None 3.93 -- 0.1 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.93
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 0.1
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
31%
📊
TIGERS
69%
WHITE SOX --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 60%
Under 0 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Chicago)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

57.6%

Tigers Cover

42.4%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.4%

CHW By 3-4 runs

15.7%

DET By 1-2 runs

16.9%

DET By 3-4 runs

11.3%

AI Model Projected Score
5.36
CHICAGO
4.59
DETROIT
Simulated Score
5
CHICAGO
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Win
31% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
C
Sim White Sox (-0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Detroit DET
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826 ▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5) +58.5% more
Chicago: 1.9 vs Detroit: 0.8
Errors (L5) +44.0% more
Chicago: 1.0 vs Detroit: 0.5
Strikeouts (L5) +33.7% more
Chicago: 8.6 vs Detroit: 5.7
Total Bases (L5) +27.6% more
Chicago: 19.3 vs Detroit: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 5.4 7
DET Score 4.6 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.5 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.6 / 10.9 7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 1.9 1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts 5.7 / 8.6 5.0 / 11.0
Total Bases 14.0 / 19.3 13.0 / 20.0
Walks 4.0 / 4.2 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
16%TICKETS84%
35%MONEY65%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
64%TICKETS36%
15%MONEY85%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54% 86-73
49% 81-86
54% 87-73
56% 94-73
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 99-68
57% 91-69
56% 93-74
TTL
46% 69-81-9
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-10
51% 84-81-2