Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Benintendi
#23 | Designated Hitter@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 3.93 | -- | 0.1 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
3.93
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
0.1
--
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
31%
TIGERS
69%
WHITE SOX
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
60%
Under 0
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.8 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHW -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)
CHW By 1-2 runs
19.4%
CHW By 3-4 runs
15.7%
DET By 1-2 runs
16.9%
DET By 3-4 runs
11.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
5.36
CHICAGO
Detroit
4.59
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
White Sox
Win
31% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
White Sox (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
C
Sim
White Sox (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHW
vs
Detroit
DET
1
Games Played
▲
162
6.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826
▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+58.5% more
Chicago: 1.9
vs
Detroit: 0.8
Errors (L5)
+44.0% more
Chicago: 1.0
vs
Detroit: 0.5
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.7% more
Chicago: 8.6
vs
Detroit: 5.7
Total Bases (L5)
+27.6% more
Chicago: 19.3
vs
Detroit: 14.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHW Score
5.4
7
DET Score
4.6
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.6 / 10.9
7.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.9
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
5.7 / 8.6
5.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
14.0 / 19.3
13.0 / 20.0
Walks
4.0 / 4.2
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54%
86-73
49%
81-86
54%
87-73
56%
94-73
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
99-68
57%
91-69
56%
93-74
TTL
46%
69-81-9
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-10
51%
84-81-2