Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Grambling @ Ohio State GRAM @ OSU

GRAMBLING

GRAMBLINGGRAM

1-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 3:30 PM ET
Ohio Stadium
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

OHIO STATEOSU

1-0  |  Home

70
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Theodore Caballero

#49 | Place kicker
@
Beau Atkinson
KEY GAME

Beau Atkinson

#12 | Defensive End
Player
Theodore Caballero None-None
Beau Atkinson None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GRAMBLING
100%
📊
OHIO STATE
0%
GRAMBLING --
OHIO STATE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
36.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.6
OHIO STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.6 points (Ohio State)
GramblingGRAM (-3.5) 0 Ohio StateOSU (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grambling Cover

10.5%

Ohio State Cover

89.5%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around OSU -17.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OSU)

GRAM By 1-6 points

5.6%

GRAM By 7-13 points

3.0%

OSU By 1-6 points

10.3%

OSU By 7-13 points

17.1%

AI Model Projected Score
9.42
GRAMBLING
26.98
OHIO STATE
Simulated Score
3
GRAMBLING
59
OHIO STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Ohio State Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Ohio State Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Ohio State (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.6
C
Sim Ohio State (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -56.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 36.4
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 62.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 GRAM @ OSU 0 - 70
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +47.2% more
Ohio State: 346.2 vs Grambling: 235.1
First Downs (L5) +35.0% more
Ohio State: 17.1 vs Grambling: 12.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +29.0% more
Ohio State: 129.8 vs Grambling: 100.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +14.0% more
Ohio State: 0.4 vs Grambling: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GRAM Score 9.4 0
OSU Score 27.0 70
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.1 / 12.7 32.0 / 10.0
Rushing Yards 129.8 / 100.6 274.0 / 94.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.3 0.71 / 0.21
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 346.2 / 235.1 651.0 / 166.0
Turnovers 0.6 / 1.3 1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
34%TICKETS66%
37%MONEY63%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
61%MONEY39%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GRAM
--
OSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 29.6 ATS +/-: +1.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GRAM
--
OSU Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 29.6 ATS +/-: +1.7
⚖️ Over/Under
GRAM
--
OSU
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
GRAM
OSU
GRAM
ML
80% 4-1
100% 1-0
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
ATS
40% 2-3
0% 0-1
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
TTL
80% 4-1
0% 0-1
20% 1-4
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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