Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Northern Iowa @ Wyoming UNI @ WYO

NORTHERN IOWA

NORTHERN IOWAUNI

1-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 4:00 PM ET
War Memorial Stadium
View Odds Details →

WYOMING

WYOMINGWYO

1-0  |  Home

31
Key Game
👤
KEY GAME

Max Bartachek

#0 | Place kicker
@
Bart Edmiston
KEY GAME

Bart Edmiston

#18 | Punter
Player
Max Bartachek None-None
Bart Edmiston None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
NORTHERN IOWA
50%
📊
WYOMING
50%
NORTHERN IOWA --
WYOMING --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
19.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 56%
Under 0 44%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.9
WYOMING
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.9 points (Wyoming)
Northern IowaUNI (-3.5) 0 WyomingWYO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Northern Iowa Cover

24.0%

Wyoming Cover

76.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around WYO -9.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WYO)

UNI By 1-6 points

10.8%

UNI By 7-13 points

7.4%

WYO By 1-6 points

15.3%

WYO By 7-13 points

19.7%

AI Model Projected Score
4.66
NORTHERN IOWA
14.53
WYOMING
Simulated Score
17
NORTHERN IOWA
31
WYOMING
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Wyoming Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Wyoming Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Wyoming (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.9
D
Sim Wyoming (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 19.2
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 UNI @ WYO 7 - 31
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +60.5% more
Wyoming: 153.4 vs Northern Iowa: 95.6
Total Yards (L5) +38.7% more
Wyoming: 378.0 vs Northern Iowa: 272.5
First Downs (L5) +15.2% more
Wyoming: 18.9 vs Northern Iowa: 16.4
Turnovers (L5) +23.5% more
Northern Iowa: 1.7 vs Wyoming: 1.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UNI Score 4.7 7
WYO Score 14.5 31
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 18.9 / 16.4 25.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 153.4 / 95.6 189.0 / 59.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.4 / 0.31
Time of Possession 0.6 / 0.5 0.49 / 0.51
Total Yards 378.0 / 272.5 379.0 / 170.0
Turnovers 1.3 / 1.7 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
2%TICKETS98%
21%MONEY79%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
32%TICKETS68%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
48%TICKETS52%
19%MONEY81%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UNI
--
WYO Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UNI
--
WYO Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -7.8 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UNI
--
WYO
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -7.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WYO
UNI
WYO
UNI
ML
80% 4-1
100% 1-0
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
ATS
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
100% 5-0
0% 0-1
TTL
0% 0-5
100% 1-0
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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