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SOUTH CAROLINA STATE

SC STATESCST

1-0  |  Road

10
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Williams-Brice Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

1-0  |  Home

38
Key Game
Ka Von Chisolm
KEY GAME

Ka Von Chisolm

#7 | Defensive Lineman
@
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
Player
Ka Von Chisolm None-None
Mason Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
SC STATE
50%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
50%
SC STATE --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
33.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-20.7
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +20.6 points (South Carolina)
SC StateSCST (-3.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

SC State Cover

7.0%

South Carolina Cover

93.0%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SC -20.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

SCST By 1-6 points

3.9%

SCST By 7-13 points

1.9%

SC By 1-6 points

8.1%

SC By 7-13 points

14.9%

AI Model Projected Score
6.6
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
27.25
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
10
SOUTH CAROLINA STATE
48
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI South Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
D
Sim South Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -20.7
D
Sim South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -38.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 33.9
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 58.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 SCST @ SC 10 - 38
Sep 29, 2022 SCST @ SC 10 - 50
Key Model Drivers
Total Yards (L5) +53.3% more
South Carolina: 405.1 vs South Carolina State: 264.2
First Downs (L5) +39.4% more
South Carolina: 20.5 vs South Carolina State: 14.7
Rushing Yards (L5) +31.9% more
South Carolina: 167.0 vs South Carolina State: 126.6
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
South Carolina: 0.5 vs South Carolina State: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SCST Score 6.6 10
SC Score 27.3 38
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.5 / 14.7 16.0 / 13.0
Rushing Yards 167.0 / 126.6 125.0 / 62.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.25 / 0.38
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.42 / 0.58
Total Yards 405.1 / 264.2 253.0 / 270.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.7 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
22%MONEY78%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SCST
--
SC Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SCST
--
SC Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SCST
--
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
SCST
SC
SCST
ML
60% 3-2
-- 0-0
80% 4-1
-- 0-0
ATS
40% 2-3
-- 0-0
20% 1-4
-- 0-0
TTL
20% 1-4
-- 0-0
60% 3-2
-- 0-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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