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BETHUNE-COOKMAN

BETHUNEBCU

0-1  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Hard Rock Stadium
View Odds Details →

MIAMI

MIAMIMIA

1-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Xavier Lucas
KEY GAME

Xavier Lucas

#37 | Safety
@
Will Rocha
KEY GAME

Will Rocha

#97 | Place kicker
Player
Xavier Lucas None-None
Will Rocha None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
BETHUNE
100%
📊
MIAMI
0%
BETHUNE --
MIAMI --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
38.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-28.5
MIAMI
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +28.5 points (Miami)
BethuneBCU (-3.5) 0 MiamiMIA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bethune Cover

2.1%

Miami Cover

97.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around MIA -28.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIA)

BCU By 1-6 points

1.3%

BCU By 7-13 points

0.5%

MIA By 1-6 points

3.6%

MIA By 7-13 points

8.4%

AI Model Projected Score
5.07
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
33.52
MIAMI
Simulated Score
7
BETHUNE-COOKMAN
52
MIAMI
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Miami Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Miami Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Miami (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -28.5
C
Sim Miami (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 38.6
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 59.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 6, 2025 BCU @ MIA 3 - 45
Sep 14, 2023 BCU @ MIA 7 - 48
Sep 3, 2022 BCU @ MIA 13 - 70
Sep 14, 2019 BCU @ MIA 0 - 63
Sep 2, 2017 BCU @ MIA 13 - 41
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +106.6% more
Miami: 187.4 vs Bethune-Cookman: 90.7
Total Yards (L5) +74.7% more
Miami: 451.3 vs Bethune-Cookman: 258.3
First Downs (L5) +59.3% more
Miami: 23.6 vs Bethune-Cookman: 14.8
Third Down Efficiency (L5) +17.0% more
Miami: 0.5 vs Bethune-Cookman: 0.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BCU Score 5.1 3
MIA Score 33.5 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.6 / 14.8 31.0 / 14.0
Rushing Yards 187.4 / 90.7 199.0 / 92.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.3 0.67 / 0.09
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.47 / 0.53
Total Yards 451.3 / 258.3 543.0 / 191.0
Turnovers 1.2 / 1.1 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
30%TICKETS70%
44%MONEY56%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
53%TICKETS47%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BCU
--
MIA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 39.8 ATS +/-: +8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BCU
--
MIA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 39.8 ATS +/-: +8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
BCU
--
MIA
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIA
BCU
MIA
BCU
ML
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
100% 5-0
100% 1-0
ATS
40% 2-3
0% 0-1
20% 1-4
0% 0-1
TTL
60% 3-2
100% 1-0
60% 3-2
0% 0-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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