MICHIGAN
MICHIGANMICH
1-0 | Road
13
OKLAHOMA
OKLAHOMAOU
1-0 | Home
24
Key Game
KEY GAME
Hudson Hollenbeck
#90 | Punter@
KEY GAME
Grayson Miller
#43 | Place kicker| Player | |
|---|---|
| Hudson Hollenbeck | None-None |
| Grayson Miller | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MICHIGAN
100%
OKLAHOMA
0%
MICHIGAN
--
OKLAHOMA
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
66.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-18.6
OKLAHOMA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +18.6 points (Oklahoma)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around OU -18.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OU)
MICH By 1-6 points
5.0%
MICH By 7-13 points
2.6%
OU By 1-6 points
9.6%
OU By 7-13 points
16.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Michigan
24.14
MICHIGAN
Oklahoma
42.75
OKLAHOMA
Simulated Score
Michigan
24
MICHIGAN
Oklahoma
27
OKLAHOMA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Oklahoma
Win
0% Win Prob
C
Sim
Oklahoma
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Oklahoma (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -18.6
C
Sim
Oklahoma (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 66.9
C
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 51.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 12, 2026
OU @ MICH
10 - 17
Sep 6, 2025
MICH @ OU
13 - 24
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+43.9% more
Oklahoma: 1.6
vs
Michigan: 1.1
First Downs (L5)
+28.5% more
Oklahoma: 21.8
vs
Michigan: 17.0
Total Yards (L5)
+28.1% more
Oklahoma: 407.1
vs
Michigan: 317.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MICH Score
24.1
13
OU Score
42.8
24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
21.8 / 17.0
22.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards
154.1 / 160.3
138.0 / 146.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.53 / 0.21
Time of Possession
0.5 / 0.5
0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards
407.1 / 317.9
408.0 / 288.0
Turnovers
1.6 / 1.1
2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MICH
Advantage
3-2-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -6.3
OU
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -8.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MICH
Advantage
2-3-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: -6.3
OU
1-3-0
(25.0%)
Margin: 6.0
ATS +/-: -8.0
⚖️ Over/Under
MICH
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0%
Total +/-: -5.9
OU
1-3-0
O: 25.0% / U: 75.0%
Total +/-: -8.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OU
MICH
OU
MICH
ML
100%
4-0
60%
3-2
100%
4-0
100%
5-0
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
20%
1-4
25%
1-3
40%
2-3
Contextual Game News
Dylan Raiola Highlights UCLA's Autzen Stadium Experience as Key …
American Conference Week 6: A 100-Pound Rib Trophy, a Walk-On's …
Buckeyes' Banged-Up Roster Opens Door for Breakout Stars Against…
South Alabama vs. Arkansas State: Live Stream, TV Channel, and G…
Red River Rivalry Rebooted: Why Texas-Oklahoma No Longer Decides…