Home / MLB Projections MLB / Tigers @ Athletics DET @ ATH

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

78-56  |  Road

0
FINAL
Wed, Aug 27 • 10:05 PM ET
Sutter Health Park
View Odds Details →

ATHLETICS

ATHLETICSATH

62-72  |  Home

7
Probable Pitchers
Drew Sommers
STARTING PITCHER

Drew Sommers

#51 | Relief Pitcher
@
👤
STARTING PITCHER

Brady Basso

#66 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Drew Sommers None-None 13.50 -- 1.0 1
Brady Basso None-None 0.00 -- 1.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
13.50 ERA Ldr 0.00
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
1 Ldr K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
62%
📊
ATHLETICS
38%
TIGERS --
ATHLETICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 AthleticsATH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

51.8%

Athletics Cover

48.2%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

18.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

14.1%

ATH By 1-2 runs

18.1%

ATH By 3-4 runs

13.0%

AI Model Projected Score
5.57
DETROIT
5.39
ATHLETICS
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
ATHLETICS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
62% Win Prob
C
Sim Athletics Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.2
C
Sim Athletics (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 11.0
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 2, 2026 DET @ ATH 11 - 0
Aug 1, 2026 DET @ ATH 8 - 6
Jul 31, 2026 DET @ ATH 13 - 1
Jul 9, 2026 ATH @ DET 1 - 4
Jul 8, 2026 ATH @ DET 1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Athletics ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.46 ▲
Runs / Game
4.31
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .245
.320 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.317
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .402
.720 ▲
OPS
.719
181
Home Runs
▲ 194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +97.4% more
Detroit: 1.5 vs Athletics: 0.0
Home Runs (L5) +19.3% more
Detroit: 1.8 vs Athletics: 1.4
Total Bases (L5) +8.6% more
Detroit: 16.2 vs Athletics: 14.9
Runs per Game (Season) +3.4% more
Detroit: 4.5 vs Athletics: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.6 0
ATH Score 5.4 7
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 1.5 0.0 / 2.0
Hits 8.7 / 9.2 11.0 / 2.0
Home Runs 1.4 / 1.8 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 9.9 / 9.3 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 14.9 / 16.2 17.0 / 4.0
Walks 4.4 / 3.1 3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
74%TICKETS26%
81%MONEY19%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
56%TICKETS44%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
51%TICKETS49%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0 (39.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
DET
ATH
DET
ML
59% 95-67
54% 86-73
54% 87-74
54% 87-73
ATS
52% 84-78
64% 101-58
50% 81-80
57% 91-69
TTL
54% 84-73-5
46% 69-81-9
42% 66-90-5
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
CC Sabathia's Divided Playoff Heart: Brewers Advance, Yankees Ex…
yahoo 1 hour, 26 minutes ago
Cloud Production Secrets: NBC Sports, MLB, NHL, and Warner Bros.…
sportsvideo 7 hours, 33 minutes ago
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
newsweek 19 hours, 21 minutes ago
LSU's Defense Dominates Early, But Real Test Awaits
si 1 day, 1 hour ago
Yankees' Season on the Brink: Max Fried Takes Mound for Game 3 D…
yardbarker 1 day, 7 hours ago