Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Alabama A&M @ Arkansas AAMU @ ARK

ALABAMA A&M

ALABAMA A&MAAMU

0-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 4:15 PM ET
Razorback Stadium
View Odds Details →

ARKANSAS

ARKANSASARK

0-0  |  Home

52
Key Game
Kamarius Bradshaw
KEY GAME

Kamarius Bradshaw

#59 | Linebacker
@
Quincy Rhodes Jr.
KEY GAME

Quincy Rhodes Jr.

#97 | Defensive Lineman
Player
Kamarius Bradshaw None-None
Quincy Rhodes Jr. None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
ALABAMA A&M
0%
📊
ARKANSAS
100%
ALABAMA A&M --
ARKANSAS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
35.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.0
ALABAMA A&M
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 points (Alabama A&M)
Alabama A&MAAMU (-3.5) 0 ArkansasARK (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Alabama A&M Cover

61.3%

Arkansas Cover

38.7%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around AAMU -4.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (AAMU)

AAMU By 1-6 points

17.0%

AAMU By 7-13 points

18.1%

ARK By 1-6 points

14.7%

ARK By 7-13 points

12.1%

AI Model Projected Score
19.74
ALABAMA A&M
15.71
ARKANSAS
Simulated Score
7
ALABAMA A&M
52
ARKANSAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Alabama A&M Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Arkansas Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Alabama A&M (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
C
Sim Arkansas (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -45.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 35.5
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 59.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 AAMU @ ARK 7 - 52
Key Model Drivers
Time of Possession (L5) +11.0% more
Alabama A&M: 0.6 vs Arkansas: 0.5
Rushing Yards (L5) +152.3% more
Arkansas: 183.0 vs Alabama A&M: 72.5
Total Yards (L5) +80.9% more
Arkansas: 454.9 vs Alabama A&M: 251.5
First Downs (L5) +57.3% more
Arkansas: 21.8 vs Alabama A&M: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
AAMU Score 19.7 7
ARK Score 15.7 52
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 21.8 / 13.8 29.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 183.0 / 72.5 194.0 / 69.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.2 0.64 / 0.08
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.6 0.56 / 0.44
Total Yards 454.9 / 251.5 552.0 / 235.0
Turnovers 1.8 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
AAMU
--
ARK Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: -8.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
AAMU
--
ARK Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -8.6 ATS +/-: -8.3
⚖️ Over/Under
AAMU
--
ARK
1-4-0
O: 20.0% / U: 80.0% Total +/-: -6.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARK
AAMU
ARK
AAMU
ML
100% 5-0
0% 0-1
80% 4-1
0% 0-1
ATS
80% 4-1
0% 0-1
40% 2-3
0% 0-1
TTL
40% 2-3
100% 1-0
20% 1-4
100% 1-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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