Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Marshall @ Georgia MRSH @ UGA

MARSHALL

MARSHALLMRSH

0-0  |  Road

7
FINAL
Sat, Aug 30 • 3:30 PM ET
Sanford Stadium
View Odds Details →

GEORGIA

GEORGIAUGA

0-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Braydin Ward
KEY GAME

Braydin Ward

#58 | Defensive Lineman
@
Drew Miller
KEY GAME

Drew Miller

#90 | Punter
Player
Braydin Ward None-None
Drew Miller None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
MARSHALL
0%
📊
GEORGIA
100%
MARSHALL --
GEORGIA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
72.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.2
MARSHALL
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.2 points (Marshall)
MarshallMRSH (-3.5) 0 GeorgiaUGA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Marshall Cover

76.8%

Georgia Cover

23.2%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around MRSH -10.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MRSH)

MRSH By 1-6 points

15.1%

MRSH By 7-13 points

19.7%

UGA By 1-6 points

10.6%

UGA By 7-13 points

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
41.27
MARSHALL
31.04
GEORGIA
Simulated Score
10
MARSHALL
45
GEORGIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Marshall Loss
0% Win Prob
C
Sim Georgia Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Marshall (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.2
C
Sim Georgia (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -35.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 72.3
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 55.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 30, 2025 MRSH @ UGA 7 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +42.8% more
Marshall: 192.2 vs Georgia: 110.0
Turnovers (L5) +113.0% more
Georgia: 1.6 vs Marshall: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MRSH Score 41.3 7
UGA Score 31.0 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 20.8 / 20.9 27.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 110.0 / 192.2 239.0 / 78.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.38 / 0.2
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 352.9 / 374.2 488.0 / 207.0
Turnovers 1.6 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
21%TICKETS79%
21%MONEY79%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
76%TICKETS24%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MRSH
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
UGA Advantage
5-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MRSH
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: -12.8 ATS +/-: -13.1
UGA Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 38.0 ATS +/-: +7.7
⚖️ Over/Under
MRSH
3-2-0
O: 60.0% / U: 40.0% Total +/-: +2.5
UGA
5-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +12.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UGA
MRSH
UGA
MRSH
ML
100% 4-0
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
100% 5-0
ATS
50% 2-2
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
TTL
75% 3-1
40% 2-3
60% 3-2
40% 2-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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