Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Virginia Tech @ South Carolina VT @ SC

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

0-0  |  Road

11
FINAL
Sun, Aug 31 • 3:00 PM ET
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

0-0  |  Home

24
Key Game
DQ Smith
KEY GAME

DQ Smith

#11 | Safety
@
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
Player
DQ Smith None-None
Mason Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
VIRGINIA TECH
50%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
50%
VIRGINIA TECH --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 50%
Under 0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.1
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.1 points (South Carolina)
Virginia TechVT (-3.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Virginia Tech Cover

19.4%

South Carolina Cover

80.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around SC -12.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SC)

VT By 1-6 points

9.2%

VT By 7-13 points

5.8%

SC By 1-6 points

14.1%

SC By 7-13 points

19.5%

AI Model Projected Score
25.08
VIRGINIA TECH
37.19
SOUTH CAROLINA
Simulated Score
24
VIRGINIA TECH
27
SOUTH CAROLINA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI South Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
C
Sim South Carolina Win
50% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.1
C
Sim South Carolina (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -3.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 62.3
C
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 51.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 31, 2025 VT @ SC 11 - 24
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +39.1% more
South Carolina: 22.8 vs Virginia Tech: 16.4
Turnovers (L5) +37.5% more
South Carolina: 1.7 vs Virginia Tech: 1.2
Rushing Yards (L5) +32.5% more
South Carolina: 191.0 vs Virginia Tech: 144.1
Total Yards (L5) +32.3% more
South Carolina: 443.6 vs Virginia Tech: 335.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VT Score 25.1 11
SC Score 37.2 24
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 22.8 / 16.4 16.0 / 19.0
Rushing Yards 191.0 / 144.1 119.0 / 115.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.6 / 0.3 0.33 / 0.44
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.43 / 0.57
Total Yards 443.6 / 335.4 328.0 / 336.0
Turnovers 1.7 / 1.2 0.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
10%TICKETS90%
17%MONEY83%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
15%TICKETS85%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
55%TICKETS45%
69%MONEY31%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
VT Advantage
4-1-0 (80.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
SC
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
VT Advantage
3-2-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 21.4 ATS +/-: +3.2
SC
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
VT
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.3
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
VT
SC
VT
ML
60% 3-2
80% 4-1
80% 4-1
40% 2-3
ATS
40% 2-3
40% 2-3
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
TTL
20% 1-4
20% 1-4
60% 3-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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