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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

69-52  |  Road

1
FINAL
Wed, Aug 13 • 2:10 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

44-76  |  Home

0
Probable Pitchers
Kyle Finnegan
STARTING PITCHER

Kyle Finnegan

#67 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Kyle Finnegan None-None 3.86 -- 1.0 --
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
3.86 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
70%
📊
WHITE SOX
30%
TIGERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Chicago)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

33.9%

White Sox Cover

66.1%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHW -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHW)

DET By 1-2 runs

14.5%

DET By 3-4 runs

8.7%

CHW By 1-2 runs

19.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

17.8%

AI Model Projected Score
4.16
DETROIT
5.82
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
3
DETROIT
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI White Sox Loss
30% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.7
C
Sim White Sox (+0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.0
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
181 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +55.0% more
Chicago: 1.0 vs Detroit: 0.4
Runs per Game (Season) +34.5% more
Chicago: 6.0 vs Detroit: 4.5
Strikeouts (L5) +23.0% more
Chicago: 10.6 vs Detroit: 8.6
OPS (Season) +10.6%
Chicago: 82.6% vs Detroit: 72.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 4.2 1
CHW Score 5.8 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 1.0 / 0.4 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.9 / 8.5 2.0 / 5.0
Home Runs 1.3 / 1.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 10.6 / 8.6 9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 13.2 / 15.1 3.0 / 6.0
Walks 3.1 / 4.0 5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
80%TICKETS20%
87%MONEY13%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
62%TICKETS38%
89%MONEY11%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
63%TICKETS37%
79%MONEY21%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49% 81-86
54% 86-73
56% 94-73
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 99-68
64% 101-58
56% 93-74
57% 91-69
TTL
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-9
51% 84-81-2
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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