ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
32-49 | Road
3
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
50-30 | Home
0
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Lopez
#57 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jack Flaherty
#9 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Lopez | None-None | 3.56 | -- | 7.0 | 6 |
| Jack Flaherty | None-None | 4.80 | -- | 6.0 | 7 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.56 Ldr
ERA
4.80
--
WHIP
--
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
6.0
6
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 7
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
100%
TIGERS
0%
ATHLETICS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.8%
ATH By 3-4 runs
8.0%
DET By 1-2 runs
19.6%
DET By 3-4 runs
18.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.47
ATHLETICS
Detroit
5.39
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.9
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
DET @ ATH
11 - 0
Aug 1, 2026
DET @ ATH
8 - 6
Jul 31, 2026
DET @ ATH
13 - 1
Jul 9, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.719
OPS
▲
.720
194
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+51.7% more
Detroit: 1.8
vs
Athletics: 1.2
Total Bases (L5)
+48.1% more
Detroit: 18.9
vs
Athletics: 12.7
Hits (L5)
+27.2% more
Detroit: 10.8
vs
Athletics: 8.5
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.5% more
Detroit: 4.5
vs
Athletics: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.5
3
DET Score
5.4
0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
10.8 / 8.5
4.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
1.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.2 / 7.2
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
18.9 / 12.7
8.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.4 / 2.8
5.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
ATH
DET
ATH
ML
54%
86-73
59%
95-67
54%
87-73
54%
87-74
ATS
64%
101-58
52%
84-78
57%
91-69
50%
81-80
TTL
46%
69-81-9
54%
84-73-5
46%
69-81-10
42%
66-90-5
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