ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
32-48 | Road
4
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
49-30 | Home
11
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Hogan Harris
#36 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hogan Harris | None-None | 3.34 | -- | 2.0 | 2 |
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 4.46 | -- | 1.0 | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
3.34 Ldr
ERA
4.46
--
WHIP
--
2.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
2 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
0%
TIGERS
100%
ATHLETICS
--
TIGERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
ATH By 1-2 runs
19.7%
ATH By 3-4 runs
16.8%
DET By 1-2 runs
15.8%
DET By 3-4 runs
10.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
4.87
ATHLETICS
Detroit
3.68
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Athletics
3
ATHLETICS
Detroit
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Athletics
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Athletics (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
D
Sim
Tigers (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.6
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 2, 2026
DET @ ATH
11 - 0
Aug 1, 2026
DET @ ATH
8 - 6
Jul 31, 2026
DET @ ATH
13 - 1
Jul 9, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
ATH @ DET
1 - 6
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.31
Runs / Game
▲
4.46
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.320
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.719
OPS
▲
.720
194
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+23.7% more
Athletics: 8.8
vs
Detroit: 6.7
Home Runs (Season)
+6.7% more
Athletics: 194.0
vs
Detroit: 181.0
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.4%
Athletics: 24.5%
vs
Detroit: 24.1%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+0.2%
Athletics: 40.2%
vs
Detroit: 40.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
4.9
4
DET Score
3.7
11
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.7
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
9.7 / 8.2
13.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 0.8
2.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 8.8
8.0 / 4.0
Total Bases
17.8 / 11.6
21.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.8
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
ATH
DET
ATH
ML
54%
86-73
59%
95-67
54%
87-73
54%
87-74
ATS
64%
101-58
52%
84-78
57%
91-69
50%
81-80
TTL
46%
69-81-9
54%
84-73-5
46%
69-81-10
42%
66-90-5
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