TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
38-30 | Road
0
PHILADELPHIA
PHILLIESPHI
39-29 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brandon Marsh
#16 | Left Field| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braydon Fisher | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Brandon Marsh | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.93
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
0%
PHILLIES
100%
BLUE JAYS
--
PHILLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TOR -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TOR By 1-2 runs
18.9%
TOR By 3-4 runs
14.5%
PHI By 1-2 runs
17.8%
PHI By 3-4 runs
12.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
4.78
TORONTO
Philadelphia
4.44
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
Toronto
3
TORONTO
Philadelphia
5
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Phillies
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Blue Jays (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -0.3
D
Sim
Phillies (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 9.2
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 9, 2026
TOR @ PHI
6 - 7
Aug 8, 2026
TOR @ PHI
7 - 5
Aug 7, 2026
TOR @ PHI
5 - 4
Jun 10, 2026
PHI @ TOR
7 - 4
Jun 9, 2026
PHI @ TOR
2 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Philadelphia
PHI
162
▲
Games Played
2
4.00
▲
Runs / Game
3.50
.247
Avg (AVG)
.247
.310
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.286
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.438
.692
OPS
▲
.724
152
▲
Home Runs
3
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+98.0% more
Toronto: 152.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.0
Home Runs (L5)
+25.7% more
Toronto: 1.4
vs
Philadelphia: 1.0
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
Toronto: 11.5
vs
Philadelphia: 9.4
Total Bases (L5)
+16.5% more
Toronto: 17.6
vs
Philadelphia: 14.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
4.8
0
PHI Score
4.4
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
9.4 / 11.5
10.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.9 / 8.0
7.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
14.7 / 17.6
17.0 / 6.0
Walks
2.8 / 3.0
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
Advantage
89-76-0
(53.9%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
Advantage
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
PHI
(41.2%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
PHI
78-77-10
O: 50.3% / U: 49.7%
Total +/-: +0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
TOR
PHI
TOR
ML
59%
97-67
46%
74-87
49%
80-84
50%
80-80
ATS
65%
107-57
56%
90-71
51%
83-81
49%
79-81
TTL
57%
88-67-9
51%
80-76-5
51%
78-76-9
45%
70-85-5
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