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CHICAGO

CUBSCHC

39-23  |  Road

1
FINAL
Fri, Jun 6 • 7:10 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

41-23  |  Home

3
Probable Pitchers
Ben Brown
STARTING PITCHER

Ben Brown

#32 | Pitcher
@
Javier Baez
STARTING PITCHER

Javier Baez

#28 | Shortstop
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ben Brown None-None 5.37 -- 7.0 7
Javier Baez None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
5.37 ERA --
-- WHIP --
7.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
7 K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
0%
📊
TIGERS
100%
CUBS --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Chicago)
CubsCHC (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Cubs Cover

53.7%

Tigers Cover

46.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)

CHC By 1-2 runs

19.0%

CHC By 3-4 runs

14.6%

DET By 1-2 runs

17.7%

DET By 3-4 runs

12.5%

AI Model Projected Score
5.29
CHICAGO
4.92
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
3
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Cubs Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Cubs Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Cubs (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -0.4
D
Sim Cubs (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 10.2
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 7.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jul 22, 2026 DET @ CHC 5 - 1
Jul 21, 2026 DET @ CHC 2 - 11
Jul 20, 2026 DET @ CHC 8 - 6
Jun 8, 2025 CHC @ DET 0 - 4
Jun 7, 2025 CHC @ DET 6 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHC
vs
Detroit DET
2
Games Played
▲ 162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲ 4.46
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲ .241
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .320
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .400
.374
OPS
▲ .720
0
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +13.2% more
Chicago: 10.0 vs Detroit: 8.7
Errors (L5) +12.0% more
Chicago: 0.5 vs Detroit: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +10.0% more
Chicago: 15.0 vs Detroit: 13.5
Home Runs (Season) +18100.0% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Chicago: 0.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHC Score 5.3 1
DET Score 4.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.4 / 0.5 0.0 / 0.0
Hits 8.7 / 10.0 8.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.9 / 1.0 2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 6.4 / 4.7 6.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 13.5 / 15.0 14.0 / 12.0
Walks 3.9 / 1.3 0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
28%TICKETS72%
36%MONEY64%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
47%TICKETS53%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
67%TICKETS33%
73%MONEY27%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC Advantage
89-75-0 (54.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
DET Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5% Total +/-: +1.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHC
DET
CHC
ML
54% 86-73
58% 93-68
54% 87-73
51% 82-79
ATS
64% 101-58
61% 97-63-1
57% 91-69
47% 75-85-1
TTL
46% 69-81-9
52% 81-74-6
46% 69-81-10
46% 72-83-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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