Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brenan Hanifee
#75 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Sean Burke
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brenan Hanifee | None-None | 2.93 | -- | 1.1 | 2 |
| Sean Burke | None-None | 4.03 | -- | 7.0 | 5 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
2.93 Ldr
ERA
4.03
--
WHIP
--
1.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 7.0
2
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 5
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
TIGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.0%
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.5%
CHW By 3-4 runs
9.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
4.65
DETROIT
Chicago
3.35
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Chicago
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.3
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+50.0% more
Detroit: 0.9
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Total Bases (L5)
+24.8% more
Detroit: 14.7
vs
Chicago: 11.1
Errors (L5)
+23.0% more
Detroit: 0.6
vs
Chicago: 0.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
4.7
2
CHW Score
3.4
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.6
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.6 / 9.0
11.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
0.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.8 / 7.1
9.0 / 5.0
Total Bases
11.1 / 14.7
12.0 / 11.0
Walks
3.2 / 2.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49%
81-86
54%
86-73
56%
94-73
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
99-68
64%
101-58
56%
93-74
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
84-81-2
46%
69-81-10