DETROIT
TIGERSDET
40-22 | Road
5
CHICAGO
WHITE SOXCHW
19-42 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Holton
#87 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Andrew Benintendi
#23 | Designated Hitter| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Holton | None-None | 4.13 | -- | 1.2 | 1 |
| Andrew Benintendi | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
4.13
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
1
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
WHITE SOX
100%
TIGERS
--
WHITE SOX
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.4
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.4 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-2 runs
19.7%
DET By 3-4 runs
17.4%
CHW By 1-2 runs
15.1%
CHW By 3-4 runs
9.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
4.89
DETROIT
Chicago
3.44
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Detroit
3
DETROIT
Chicago
6
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Tigers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
White Sox
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (-0)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.4
D
Sim
White Sox (+0)
Loss
Proj Runs: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 8.3
D
Sim
u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026
DET @ CHW
11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026
DET @ CHW
1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026
CHW @ DET
7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit
DET
vs
Chicago
CHW
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲
6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲
.324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.412
.720
OPS
▲
.826
181
▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0
vs
Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5)
+55.1% more
Detroit: 1.4
vs
Chicago: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+36.0% more
Detroit: 0.4
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Total Bases (L5)
+20.4% more
Detroit: 14.6
vs
Chicago: 11.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
4.9
5
CHW Score
3.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.0 / 0.4
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.5
7.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.4
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 7.2
7.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
11.6 / 14.6
10.0 / 15.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
88-79-0
(52.7%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
CHW
Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49%
81-86
54%
86-73
56%
94-73
54%
87-73
ATS
59%
99-68
64%
101-58
56%
93-74
57%
91-69
TTL
58%
96-69-2
46%
69-81-9
51%
84-81-2
46%
69-81-10
Contextual Game News
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