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DETROIT

TIGERSDET

40-21  |  Road

1
FINAL
Tue, Jun 3 • 7:40 PM ET
Rate Field
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

18-42  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Tyler Holton
STARTING PITCHER

Tyler Holton

#87 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgar Quero
STARTING PITCHER

Edgar Quero

#26 | Catcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Tyler Holton None-None 4.39 -- 1.0 --
Edgar Quero None-None -- -- -- --
None-None W-L None-None
4.39 ERA --
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) --
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
TIGERS
0%
📊
WHITE SOX
100%
TIGERS --
WHITE SOX --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Detroit)
TigersDET (-3.5) 0 White SoxCHW (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Tigers Cover

71.7%

White Sox Cover

28.3%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

DET By 1-2 runs

19.4%

DET By 3-4 runs

18.9%

CHW By 1-2 runs

12.7%

CHW By 3-4 runs

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
5.56
DETROIT
3.26
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
4
DETROIT
5
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Tigers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim White Sox Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Tigers (-0) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.3
D
Sim White Sox (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
D
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Detroit DET
vs
Chicago CHW
162 ▲
Games Played
1
4.46
Runs / Game
▲ 6.00
.241
Avg (AVG)
▲ .324
.320
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .415
.400
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .412
.720
OPS
▲ .826
181 ▲
Home Runs
1
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +99.4% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +79.4% more
Detroit: 2.0 vs Chicago: 0.4
Total Bases (L5) +41.7% more
Detroit: 17.9 vs Chicago: 10.4
Hits (L5) +26.0% more
Detroit: 9.2 vs Chicago: 6.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 5.6 1
CHW Score 3.3 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.1 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.8 / 9.2 10.0 / 7.0
Home Runs 0.4 / 2.0 1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 7.3 / 6.3 10.0 / 9.0
Total Bases 10.4 / 17.9 14.0 / 8.0
Walks 3.0 / 1.9 4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
92%TICKETS8%
93%MONEY7%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
97%MONEY3%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
57%TICKETS43%
86%MONEY14%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHW
DET
CHW
DET
ML
49% 81-86
54% 86-73
56% 94-73
54% 87-73
ATS
59% 99-68
64% 101-58
56% 93-74
57% 91-69
TTL
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-9
51% 84-81-2
46% 69-81-10
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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