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BALTIMORE

RAVENSBAL

8-5  |  Road

35
FINAL
Sun, Dec 15 • 1:00 PM ET
MetLife Stadium
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

GIANTSNYG

2-11  |  Home

14
Key Game
Broderick Washington Jr.
KEY GAME

Broderick Washington Jr.

#96 | Defensive Tackle
@
Kayvon Thibodeaux
KEY GAME

Kayvon Thibodeaux

#5 | Linebacker
Player
Broderick Washington Jr. None-None
Kayvon Thibodeaux None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
RAVENS
90%
📊
GIANTS
10%
RAVENS --
GIANTS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
40.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 40%
Under 0 60%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
BALTIMORE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Baltimore)
RavensBAL (-3.5) 0 GiantsNYG (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Ravens Cover

51.1%

Giants Cover

48.9%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around BAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BAL)

BAL By 1-6 points

16.6%

BAL By 7-13 points

15.7%

NYG By 1-6 points

16.3%

NYG By 7-13 points

15.1%

AI Model Projected Score
20.22
BALTIMORE
19.85
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
17
BALTIMORE
27
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Ravens Win
90% Win Prob
A
Sim Giants Loss
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ravens (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
A
Sim Giants (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -10.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 40.1
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 44.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 15, 2024 BAL @ NYG 35 - 14
Oct 16, 2022 BAL @ NYG 20 - 24
Dec 27, 2020 NYG @ BAL 13 - 27
Oct 16, 2016 BAL @ NYG 23 - 27
Dec 23, 2012 NYG @ BAL 14 - 33
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +27.9% more
Baltimore: 163.0 vs New York: 117.5
Yards Per Play (L5) +27.5% more
Baltimore: 6.2 vs New York: 4.5
Total Yards (L5) +22.8% more
Baltimore: 382.5 vs New York: 295.2
Net Passing Yards (L5) +19.1% more
Baltimore: 219.5 vs New York: 177.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BAL Score 20.2 35
NYG Score 19.9 14
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 17.9 / 21.3 19.0 / 25.0
Net Passing Yards 177.7 / 219.5 181.0 / 275.0
Rushing Yards 117.5 / 163.0 55.0 / 170.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.17 / 0.82
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.52 / 0.48
Total Yards 295.2 / 382.5 236.0 / 445.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.5 1.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play 4.5 / 6.2 3.9 / 7.5
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BAL
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NYG
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BAL
1-3-0 (25.0%)
Margin: 5.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
NYG Advantage
3-1-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-: +3.1
⚖️ Over/Under
BAL
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +5.0
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -3.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYG
BAL
NYG
BAL
ML
75% 3-1
75% 3-1
100% 4-0
25% 1-3
ATS
100% 4-0
33% 1-2-1
100% 4-0
100% 3-0-1
TTL
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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