NEW YORK
GIANTSNYG
3-13 | Road
13
PHILADELPHIA
EAGLESPHI
13-3 | Home
20
Key Game
KEY GAME
Deonte Banks
#2 | Cornerback@
KEY GAME
Braden Mann
#10 | Punter| Player | |
|---|---|
| Deonte Banks | None-None |
| Braden Mann | None-None |
None-None
W-L
None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GIANTS
5%
EAGLES
95%
GIANTS
--
EAGLES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
48.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
90%
Under 0
10%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-13.3
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +13.3 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PHI -13.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
NYG By 1-6 points
8.4%
NYG By 7-13 points
5.1%
PHI By 1-6 points
13.3%
PHI By 7-13 points
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
17.77
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
31.04
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
20
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
27
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Eagles
Win
95% Win Prob
A
Sim
Eagles
Win
50% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -13.3
A
Sim
Eagles (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 48.8
A
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 47.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 26, 2025
NYG @ PHI
20 - 38
Oct 9, 2025
PHI @ NYG
17 - 34
Jan 5, 2025
NYG @ PHI
13 - 20
Oct 20, 2024
PHI @ NYG
28 - 3
Jan 7, 2024
PHI @ NYG
10 - 27
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5)
+135.4% more
Philadelphia: 187.5
vs
New York: 79.6
First Downs (L5)
+28.5% more
Philadelphia: 20.9
vs
New York: 16.2
Total Yards (L5)
+18.8% more
Philadelphia: 361.1
vs
New York: 304.1
Time of Possession (L5)
+10.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.6
vs
New York: 0.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYG Score
17.8
13
PHI Score
31.0
20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs
20.9 / 16.2
21.0 / 10.0
Net Passing Yards
173.6 / 224.5
252.0 / 138.0
Rushing Yards
187.5 / 79.6
51.0 / 100.0
Third Down Efficiency
0.4 / 0.4
0.21 / 0.29
Time of Possession
0.6 / 0.5
0.5 / 0.5
Total Yards
361.1 / 304.1
303.0 / 238.0
Turnovers
0.8 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Yards Per Play
5.6 / 5.3
4.5 / 4.4
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
PHI
2-2-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYG
Advantage
3-1-0
(75.0%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-: +3.1
PHI
0-4-0
(0.0%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: -7.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NYG
2-2-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -3.8
PHI
3-1-0
O: 75.0% / U: 25.0%
Total +/-: -0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NYG
PHI
NYG
ML
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
ATS
25%
1-3
100%
4-0
75%
3-1
100%
4-0
TTL
50%
2-2
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
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