OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
58-12 | Road
103
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
40-30 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
CLIPPERS
100%
THUNDER
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
OKC By 1-7 points
27.1%
OKC By 8-14 points
23.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
17.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
7.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
127.17
OKLAHOMA CITY
LA
121.69
LA
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
118
OKLAHOMA CITY
LA
121
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Clippers
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim
Clippers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -3.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 248.9
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 239.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 8, 2026
OKC @ LAC
128 - 110
Dec 18, 2025
LAC @ OKC
101 - 122
Nov 4, 2025
OKC @ LAC
126 - 107
Mar 23, 2025
OKC @ LAC
103 - 101
Jan 2, 2025
LAC @ OKC
98 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+17.9% more
LA: 13.5
vs
Oklahoma City: 11.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
LA: 80.7%
vs
Oklahoma City: 75.3%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.8%
LA: 46.5%
vs
Oklahoma City: 43.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
LA: 54.4%
vs
Oklahoma City: 52.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
127.2
103
LAC Score
121.7
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
46.5 / 43.7
30.8 / 34.3
Assists
28.1 / 28.7
20.0 / 28.0
Blocks
6.2 / 5.8
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
54.4 / 52.8
42.7 / 40.2
Free Throw %
80.7 / 75.3
82.1 / 85.0
Rebounding
45.7 / 47.0
48.0 / 42.0
Steals
8.3 / 8.7
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 11.5
14.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
OKC
LAC
OKC
ML
60%
59-40
70%
80-34
55%
45-37
48%
46-49
ATS
66%
65-33-1
73%
83-30-1
55%
45-37
48%
46-49
TTL
59%
58-40-1
67%
76-38
100%
82-0
100%
95-0
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