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CHICAGO

WHITE SOXCHW

2-6  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Apr 6 • 1:40 PM ET
Comerica Park
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

TIGERSDET

4-4  |  Home

4
Probable Pitchers
Miguel Vargas
STARTING PITCHER

Miguel Vargas

#20 | Third Base
@
Brenan Hanifee
STARTING PITCHER

Brenan Hanifee

#75 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Miguel Vargas None-None -- -- -- --
Brenan Hanifee None-None 3.60 -- 2.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
-- ERA 3.60
-- WHIP --
-- IP (Innings Pitched) 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
WHITE SOX
25%
📊
TIGERS
75%
WHITE SOX --
TIGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
7.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 70%
Under 0 30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (Detroit)
White SoxCHW (-3.5) 0 TigersDET (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

White Sox Cover

39.8%

Tigers Cover

60.2%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around DET -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)

CHW By 1-2 runs

16.2%

CHW By 3-4 runs

10.5%

DET By 1-2 runs

19.6%

DET By 3-4 runs

16.4%

AI Model Projected Score
3.35
CHICAGO
4.38
DETROIT
Simulated Score
4
CHICAGO
5
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Tigers Win
75% Win Prob
B
Sim Tigers Win
50% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Sim Tigers (+0) Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 7.7
B
Sim u0.0
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 8
Sep 19, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Sep 18, 2026 DET @ CHW 11 - 8
Sep 17, 2026 DET @ CHW 1 - 3
Aug 16, 2026 CHW @ DET 7 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago CHW
vs
Detroit DET
1
Games Played
▲ 162
6.00 ▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.324 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.415 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.412 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.826 ▲
OPS
.720
1
Home Runs
▲ 181
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season) +18000.0% more
Detroit: 181.0 vs Chicago: 1.0
Home Runs (L5) +115.0% more
Detroit: 1.7 vs Chicago: 0.6
Total Bases (L5) +59.4% more
Detroit: 17.5 vs Chicago: 11.0
Hits (L5) +28.0% more
Detroit: 9.4 vs Chicago: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHW Score 3.4 3
DET Score 4.4 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.1 / 0.5 1.0 / 0.0
Hits 9.4 / 7.4 7.0 / 4.0
Home Runs 1.7 / 0.6 0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts 8.5 / 7.8 4.0 / 5.0
Total Bases 17.5 / 11.0 9.0 / 4.0
Walks 3.4 / 3.8 3.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHW Advantage
88-79-0 (52.7%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHW Advantage
(58.1%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
DET
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHW
96-69-2
O: 58.2% / U: 41.8% Total +/-: +0.9
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
CHW
DET
CHW
ML
54% 86-73
49% 81-86
54% 87-73
56% 94-73
ATS
64% 101-58
59% 99-68
57% 91-69
56% 93-74
TTL
46% 69-81-9
58% 96-69-2
46% 69-81-10
51% 84-81-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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