MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
0-1 | Road
115
INDIANA
PACERSIND
1-0 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
BUCKS
100%
PACERS
0%
BUCKS
--
PACERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Indiana)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)
MIL By 1-7 points
17.4%
MIL By 8-14 points
7.1%
IND By 1-7 points
27.0%
IND By 8-14 points
24.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
117.33
MILWAUKEE
Indiana
123.07
INDIANA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
121
MILWAUKEE
Indiana
112
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pacers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Bucks
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pacers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Bucks (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.4
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 233.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
IND @ MIL
123 - 134
Feb 6, 2026
IND @ MIL
99 - 105
Dec 23, 2025
MIL @ IND
111 - 94
Nov 3, 2025
MIL @ IND
117 - 115
Apr 29, 2025
MIL @ IND
118 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+61.7% more
Indiana: 7.8
vs
Milwaukee: 4.8
Steals (L5)
+34.3% more
Indiana: 8.4
vs
Milwaukee: 6.3
Rebounding (L5)
+15.6% more
Indiana: 47.9
vs
Milwaukee: 41.4
Assists (L5)
+12.7% more
Indiana: 27.4
vs
Milwaukee: 24.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
117.3
115
IND Score
123.1
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.1 / 37.5
44.4 / 40.0
Assists
27.4 / 24.3
30.0 / 26.0
Blocks
7.8 / 4.8
3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
46.6 / 48.9
48.9 / 50.6
Free Throw %
78.2 / 72.7
100.0 / 68.4
Rebounding
47.9 / 41.4
38.0 / 43.0
Steals
8.4 / 6.3
8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 12.4
8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
IND
19-63-0
(23.2%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
IND
Advantage
40-42-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -8.0
ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
MIL
IND
MIL
ML
48%
47-50
64%
61-35
54%
45-38
60%
49-32
ATS
59%
57-40
68%
65-31
54%
45-38
60%
49-32
TTL
54%
52-45
55%
53-43
100%
83-0
100%
81-0
Contextual Game News
Marcus Smart Reveals Why Lakers Let Him Walk: 'They Wanted to Go…
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
Tampa Bay Rays Expected to Exercise $13 Million Club Option on Y…
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
Phoenix Suns 2026-27 Season Preview: Can Devin Booker and the Re…