MINNESOTA

TIMBERWOLVESMIN

44-32  |  Road

105
FINAL
Thu, Apr 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

25-51  |  Home

90
AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
📊
NETS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Minnesota)
TimberwolvesMIN (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Timberwolves Cover

71.9%

Nets Cover

28.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)

MIN By 1-7 points

26.9%

MIN By 8-14 points

24.0%

BKN By 1-7 points

17.3%

BKN By 8-14 points

7.1%

AI Model Projected Score
115.41
MINNESOTA
109.61
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
118
MINNESOTA
122
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Nets Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Timberwolves (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 27, 2025 BKN @ MIN 123 - 107
Nov 3, 2025 MIN @ BKN 125 - 109
Apr 11, 2025 BKN @ MIN 91 - 117
Apr 3, 2025 MIN @ BKN 105 - 90
Feb 24, 2024 BKN @ MIN 86 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +14.8% more
Minnesota: 4.4 vs Brooklyn: 3.8
Rebounding (L5) +12.5% more
Minnesota: 49.4 vs Brooklyn: 43.2
Assists (L5) +11.0% more
Minnesota: 30.2 vs Brooklyn: 26.9
Steals (L5) +11.0% more
Minnesota: 6.7 vs Brooklyn: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MIN Score 115.4 105
BKN Score 109.6 90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.8 / 38.9 30.6 / 31.0
Assists 26.9 / 30.2 30.0 / 27.0
Blocks 3.8 / 4.4 0.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 42.2 / 48.5 42.7 / 50.0
Free Throw % 79.4 / 74.1 75.0 / 66.7
Rebounding 43.2 / 49.4 34.0 / 45.0
Steals 6.0 / 6.7 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 13.2 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
87%TICKETS13%
65%MONEY35%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
60%TICKETS40%
71%MONEY29%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
85%TICKETS15%
68%MONEY32%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN Advantage
55-39-0 (58.5%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0 (44.7%)
Margin: 2.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN Advantage
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3% Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7