AI Model Win Probability
TIMBERWOLVES
0%
NETS
100%
TIMBERWOLVES
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.8
MINNESOTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.8 points (Minnesota)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around MIN -5.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIN)
MIN By 1-7 points
26.9%
MIN By 8-14 points
24.0%
BKN By 1-7 points
17.3%
BKN By 8-14 points
7.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Minnesota
115.41
MINNESOTA
Brooklyn
109.61
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Minnesota
118
MINNESOTA
Brooklyn
122
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
Nets
Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Timberwolves (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.8
D
Sim
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
u0.0
Win
Proj Total: 240.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 27, 2025
BKN @ MIN
123 - 107
Nov 3, 2025
MIN @ BKN
125 - 109
Apr 11, 2025
BKN @ MIN
91 - 117
Apr 3, 2025
MIN @ BKN
105 - 90
Feb 24, 2024
BKN @ MIN
86 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.8% more
Minnesota: 4.4
vs
Brooklyn: 3.8
Rebounding (L5)
+12.5% more
Minnesota: 49.4
vs
Brooklyn: 43.2
Assists (L5)
+11.0% more
Minnesota: 30.2
vs
Brooklyn: 26.9
Steals (L5)
+11.0% more
Minnesota: 6.7
vs
Brooklyn: 6.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIN Score
115.4
105
BKN Score
109.6
90
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.8 / 38.9
30.6 / 31.0
Assists
26.9 / 30.2
30.0 / 27.0
Blocks
3.8 / 4.4
0.0 / 10.0
Field Goal %
42.2 / 48.5
42.7 / 50.0
Free Throw %
79.4 / 74.1
75.0 / 66.7
Rebounding
43.2 / 49.4
34.0 / 45.0
Steals
6.0 / 6.7
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.0 / 13.2
12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIN
Advantage
55-39-0
(58.5%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIN
42-52-0
(44.7%)
Margin: 2.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
MIN
43-51-0
O: 45.7% / U: 54.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
MIN
BKN
MIN
ML
53%
50-45
54%
63-53
59%
48-34
54%
50-43
ATS
52%
48-44-3
58%
67-49
59%
48-34
54%
50-43
TTL
57%
54-41
63%
72-43-1
100%
82-0
100%
93-0