Home / NHL Projections NHL / Flyers @ Stars PHI @ DAL

PHILADELPHIA

FLYERSPHI

28-34-8  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sat, Mar 22 • 2:00 PM ET
American Airlines Center
View Odds Details →

DALLAS

STARSDAL

43-21-4  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Ivan Fedotov
GOALTENDER

Ivan Fedotov

#82 | G
@
Jake Oettinger
GOALTENDER

Jake Oettinger

#29 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Ivan Fedotov None-None 6.00 0.333 --
Jake Oettinger None-None 2.00 0.917 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
6.00 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.333 Save % Ldr 0.917
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
100%
📊
STARS
0%
FLYERS --
STARS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.9
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Dallas)
FlyersPHI (-3.5) 0 StarsDAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Flyers Cover

33.5%

Stars Cover

66.5%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DAL -0.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)

PHI By 1 goal

13.0%

PHI By 2-3 goals

10.5%

DAL By 1 goal

19.7%

DAL By 2-3 goals

28.0%

AI Model Projected Score
2.09
PHILADELPHIA
2.94
DALLAS
Simulated Score
2
PHILADELPHIA
3
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Stars Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim Stars Win
50% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -0.9
D
Sim Stars (+0) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Sim u0.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 29, 2026 DAL @ PHI 1 - 2
Nov 15, 2025 PHI @ DAL 1 - 5
Mar 22, 2025 PHI @ DAL 2 - 3
Jan 9, 2025 DAL @ PHI 4 - 1
Jan 18, 2024 DAL @ PHI 1 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Power Play % (L5) +27.3%
Dallas: 27.8% vs Philadelphia: 0.5%
Faceoff % (L5) +1.9%
Dallas: 51.0% vs Philadelphia: 49.1%
Hits (L5) +16.8% more
Philadelphia: 25.5 vs Dallas: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5) +11.4% more
Philadelphia: 15.5 vs Dallas: 13.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 2.1 2
DAL Score 2.9 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.8 / 15.5 16.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 51.0 / 49.1 50.9 / 49.1
Hits 21.2 / 25.5 16.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 2783.0 / 48.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 25.2 / 25.6 19.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 3.9 / 4.1 6.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
18%TICKETS82%
2%MONEY98%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
72%TICKETS28%
84%MONEY16%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
PHI
DAL
PHI
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
ATS
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Joseph Woll's Strong Start in Philadelphia Has Maple Leafs Fans …
yardbarker 1 hour, 11 minutes ago
NFL Trade Shocker: Ravens Land Pro Bowl Lineman Cam Jurgens from…
timesargus 1 day ago
Islanders Defy Doubters with Four Stars on ESPN Top 100 List
si 1 day, 12 hours ago
Flyers Land Michael Bunting in Bid to Stop Early Season Skid
yourvalley_net 2 days, 1 hour ago
Phillies Poised for Payroll Flexibility as Walker and Castellano…
si 2 days, 6 hours ago